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Brian Robinson Jr. #8 of the Washington Commanders headlines our Sunday NFL player prop plays for Week 13.
Brian Robinson Jr. #8 of the Washington Commanders runs the ball for a touchdown during the second quarter in the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on November 05, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images via AFP.

Tony Pollard, running back for the Dallas Cowboys, had an impressive start to our NFL player props for Week 13. Our top priority when making NFL picks is finding the best NFL odds from our top NFL prop betting sites.

We aim to continue our successful streak with NFL player props and keep the good times rolling into Week 13.

Our initial play of the week, a rushing prop in the Thursday Night Football game at AT&T Stadium between the Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys, proved to be successful. The week will conclude with a less exciting Monday Night Football game featuring the Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars.

The highly anticipated match-up between the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13 will have a major impact on the Super Bowl and NFL MVP odds.

Alongside our NFL Week 13 predictions and player props, we present our top NFL player props for Week 13, with odds sourced from our preferred NFL betting sites. The confidence level of each pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

NFL player props for Week 13

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NFL player props for Week 13: Sunday

Brian Robinson Over 39.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Robinson’s role as the go-to back for the Washington Commanders is undeniable. He has surpassed this total in four of the last five games, with an average of 4.2 yards per carry.

I have some concerns about the possibility of the Miami Dolphins becoming a strong favorite on Sunday, which could lead to a decrease in Robinson’s carries due to a negative game script.

However, this is already factored into my calculations, and it may not be significant as there is no clear link between Robinson’s statistics and Washington’s competitiveness. In the last two weeks, the second-year running back exceeded this 39.5 number in games where Washington suffered heavy defeats.

BetRivers priceMy projectionMy priceExpected value
-11053.1-14413%
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Chigoziem Okonkwo Over 23.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Although the total has slightly increased from 21.5 since Wednesday, it is a positive sign as early bettors seem to be in agreement with my initial projection. Furthermore, my calculations still indicate that there is value in this bet.

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Okonkwo has been targeted on 55% of his offensive snaps and has gained 251 receiving yards from his 48 targets. He has surpassed this total in four of the last five games, with the only exception being the Week 11 blowout loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

While the Tennessee Titans may not have a dynamic passing game, the Indianapolis Colts’ defense is not particularly strong either. The Colts have struggled to contain tight ends, allowing 12 of them to have success against them in just 11 games, including Okonkwo.

FanDuel priceMy projectionMy priceExpected value
-11429.2-14611%

More Week 13 player props

NFL player props for Week 13: Thursday Night Football

Tony Pollard Over 63.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐✅

The total has increased from 59.5 on Tuesday and continues to rise. Despite the Dallas Cowboys being a strong favorite in the NFL Week 13 odds, there is still value as the Seattle Seahawks are showing signs of falling apart.

Seattle has struggled in defending the run, allowing 641 yards and an average of 5.25 yards per carry in the last five games. On the other hand, Pollard has improved as a rusher since the Week 7 bye, gaining 299 yards at an average of 4.7 yards per carry.

bet365 priceMy projectionMy priceExpected value
-11070.5-1277%

Although the numerical advantage is not as significant as it was earlier in the week, this remains a strong bet.

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