NFL Player Props Week 2: Predictions, Picks for Monday
Perry Odelia and Stewart Serena, betting analysts for Underscoreg Review, are revealing their favorite NFL player props for Week 2 of the season. These picks are selected from the top NFL prop betting sites and are based on the current NFL odds.
We still have 15 games left in our Week 2 predictions, and we have compiled a list of NFL player props for bettors to consider.
Specifically, we are closely monitoring two Tampa Bay Buccaneers players who are poised to capitalize on playing a home game against the Chicago Bears.
In Week 1, Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield orchestrated a thrilling comeback victory against the Minnesota Vikings. Now, as the first-year pirate prepares to face the Bears, we anticipate Mayfield having continued success with his passing game.
In our Week 2 portfolio, we have added Buccaneers running back Rachaad White with the expectation that he will take advantage of the Chicago defense with his performance on the ground.
Our top NFL player props for Sunday perfectly complement our Week 2 NFL best bets and upset picks. Confidence levels are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale using odds from our top NFL betting sites.
NFL player props for Week 2
- Bryce Young Over 189.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Calvin Ridley Over 5.5 receptions (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Baker Mayfield Over 221.5 passing yards (-115 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rachaad White Over 53.5 rushing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
- Christian McCaffrey Over 28.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Michael Gallup Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Kirk Cousins Under 263.5 passing yards (-113 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
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NFL player props for Monday Week 2
Bryce Young Over 189.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft will be playing his first home game on Monday Night Football for the Carolina Panthers against the New Orleans Saints. In Week 1, Young only threw for 146 yards on 38 attempts against the Atlanta Falcons. The high number of pass attempts is a clear indication that the Panthers trust Young with the ball. I believe they should continue to let him throw, which is why I am picking the Panthers at +3.5 in both this game and my Beat the Bullseye selection.
Young started with a passing yards total of 195.5 at our top sports betting sites. The number has since increased to 196.5, with Pinnacle going as high as 198.5. FanDuel, on the other hand, has the total set nine yards lower than Pinnacle and seven yards lower than most other sports betting apps. This difference is concerning and could indicate an error in pricing. It’s a rogue price alert!
Young is expected to pass for 207 yards against the Saints on Monday Night Football. While this projection may not seem high, there is value in betting the Over at 189.5 (-114) through FanDuel. With this projection, Young’s odds to surpass this total are calculated at -171, indicating a positive expected value of 18% for this bet.
If you were to place a bet on the Over at 196.5 (-115) through DraftKings instead, your expected value would decrease from 18% to 6%. This is why it is important to use all of our top NFL betting platforms and carefully compare the odds available.
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Selection made by Perry Odelia (SBR | Twitter/X)
NFL player props for Sunday Week 2
Calvin Ridley Over 5.5 receptions (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Trevor Lawrence has found a new go-to receiver in Jacksonville this season, and it’s none other than Calvin Ridley. In his first game with the Jaguars against the Indianapolis Colts, Ridley pulled in eight catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. With his suspension for sports betting, it’s a smart move to focus on his player props.
In Week 2, Ridley’s receiving statistics have seen an increase. His total receiving yards have gone up from 69.5 in the first game to 73.5, with several top sports betting sites raising the odds on him making over 5.5 receptions, except for FanDuel. This is why I am placing my attention on Ridley’s reception prop rather than his receiving yards total.
Ridley is expected to catch 6.4 passes against the Chiefs, making the Over 5.5 receptions at -160 a good bet. BetRivers has set their juice at -159 for the same prop, while FanDuel still offers -128 for the Over. I’m taking advantage of FanDuel’s offer and placing a bet on this prop.
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Perry Odelia made the pick.
Baker Mayfield Over 221.5 passing yards (-115 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
Stewart Serena seems to have already made a bet on the Rachaad White rushing yards prop for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers game. By also considering the Mayfield Over on passing yards, you could potentially put together a same-game parlay for the Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears Week 2 matchup.
The Bears surrendered 245 passing yards to Jordan Love in Week 1, momentarily easing Packers fans’ concerns over Aaron Rodgers’ absence. Perhaps this week, they can assist Buccaneers fans in erasing memories of Tom Brady.
The passing yards prop for Mayfield started at 219.5 yards and is now trending towards the Over. BetRivers has been the slowest to adjust its total compared to other top sportsbooks, making it a good opportunity to take advantage of. Mayfield’s passing yards total has increased to 228.5 at FanDuel, with the Over available at -114. FanDuel’s total is seven yards higher than the initial prop, with similar odds for the Over.
When looking at the projections, it is evident that this prop bet is leaning towards the Over. With Mayfield expected to throw for 235.4 yards, we can confidently set the Over for 221.5 passing yards at -141.
Perry Odelia’s choice was selected.
Rachaad White Over 53.5 rushing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
There has been much discussion about White’s lack of productivity as a running back for the Buccaneers, but little mention of his decreasing role. Despite this, he was on the field for 79% of offensive snaps in Week 1 against the Vikings and is expected to have another favorable matchup against the Bears in Week 2.
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Despite consuming copious amounts of Benadryl, the Bears were unable to overcome their allergy struggles in 2022. Pro Football Focus graded their rush defense as the worst in the league, and the team suffered a humiliating loss at Soldier Field in front of their fans during Week 1.
My conservative estimate is that White will rush for 58.6 yards, and I would set the Over at -126. Based on my projections, there is an 11% positive expected value compared to the -101 odds offered by Caesars.
Stewart Serena’s selection (SBR | Twitter/X)
Christian McCaffrey Over 28.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
After averaging 42.2 receiving yards per regular-season game with the San Francisco 49ers last season, I expect McCaffrey to surpass last week’s total of 17 yards.
My projection for McCaffrey is 35.7 receiving yards. I would consider betting the Over at -155 for a positive expected value of 16%, which is higher than the -110 odds offered by bet365.
After a road victory against the Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams are vulnerable to a letdown in their next game. I am also confident in picking San Francisco in my Week 2 survivor pool and including them in my Week 2 teaser picks.
Stewart Serena made a pick.
Michael Gallup Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐
After learning that Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks (knee) is unlikely to play against the New York Jets, I increased my projections for Gallup. I now have the sixth-year Cowboy forecasted to have 39.6 receiving yards.
Therefore, we are seeing a favorable expected value of 11% on the -110 bet365 odds, as I would value this Over at -138 according to my analysis.
Furthermore, it wouldn’t be unexpected to witness an increase in Gallup’s receiving yards total or the vig as bettors reassess the Dallas passing game in the absence of Cooks.
Stewart Serena made the pick.
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
I predict that Rhamondre Stevenson will have a standout performance against the Miami Dolphins, following his impressive Week 1 stats where he played 74% of offensive snaps and carried the ball 12 times out of 20 for the New England Patriots.
Last week, the Miami Dolphins defense struggled against the San Diego Chargers, allowing 233 rushing yards at an average of 5.8 yards per carry. Miami gave up the most EPA per rush (0.322), had the highest rushing success rate (66.7%), and was graded as the sixth-worst run defense by Pro Football Focus.
I predict Stevenson will rush for 60.1 yards and would value this prop at -153. This results in a positive expected value of 16% when compared to the -110 odds on bet365.
Stewart Serena made the pick.
NFL player props for Thursday Week 2
Kirk Cousins Under 263.5 passing yards (-113 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Get ready, everyone! Kirk Cousins is set to play in a primetime game on Thursday Night Football. In last season’s matchup against the Eagles on Monday Night Football, Cousins had a tough time against their secondary and threw three interceptions. Although we could look at Cousins’ interception prop, we’re honing in on his passing yards prop because we’ve found an advantageous edge in these numbers with BetRivers.
This season, Cousins is anticipated to rack up impressive passing yard numbers as the Vikings shift their focus away from Dalvin Cook’s running game. Instead, they are heavily relying on the passing game, with targets like Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.
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During his recent game against the Buccaneers, Cousins surpassed his passing yards total of 271.5 by throwing for 344 yards. Despite this impressive performance, the projected total for his next game is actually lower on most sports betting apps. The total has been adjusted downward by almost 10 yards, but it may still not be enough of a decrease.
Cousins is predicted to throw for 250.9 yards against the Eagles, making the Under of 263.5 passing yards at -174 a good bet. However, BetRivers is offering it at -113, giving you a better opportunity to maximize your edge. While other top sportsbooks are also offering the Under on Cousins’ passing yards at 260.5 with similar juice, betting at BetRivers will give you the highest expected value.
Perry Odelia made the selection.
Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
In Week 1, Dallas Goedert was noted to have zero receiving yards. While this could suggest a potential Under bet, a closer look at the statistics is needed to make a more informed decision.
Quotes from interviews with key figures such as Johnson, quarterback Jalen Hurts, and head coach Nick Sirianni have addressed Goedert’s lack of targets against the Patriots. Johnson specifically stated that the ball should have been thrown Goedert’s way at least four to five times, emphasizing the need to get him more involved.
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The Eagles tight end confidently announced that he plans to start himself on his fantasy football team this week. After reviewing the game plan for their upcoming matchup against the Vikings, he knows the importance of not losing to friends in fantasy football.
Goedert is projected to have 51.3 receiving yards, indicating it may be a good opportunity to buy low. The betting market also reflects this sentiment, with Goedert’s initial total opening at 38.5 receiving yards and now rising to 46.5 at FanDuel. With this projection in mind, we can set the odds for Goedert to surpass 42.5 receiving yards at -125.
Perry Odelia made a selection.
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