Seahawks vs. Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds Week 13: Will Cowboys Keep dominating at Home on TNF?
The Dallas Cowboys will face off against the Seattle Seahawks for the second consecutive Thursday night in Week 13 of Thursday Night Football. Our prediction for the Seahawks vs. Cowboys game is based on the top NFL odds available.
The Seattle Seahawks were unable to catch up to the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West race on Thanksgiving, suffering a 31-13 loss. With a current record of 6-5 and +2000 odds at DraftKings to win the division, the Seahawks have now lost four consecutive games to the 49ers.
During Week 12, the Dallas Cowboys continued their strong showings at home by defeating the Washington Commanders 45-10, extending their undefeated record to 5-0 at AT&T Stadium. Although the team’s victory was impressive, wide receiver CeeDee Lamb only recorded 53 yards and one touchdown on four receptions. Green Finnian is hopeful that CeeDee will increase his stats in his upcoming prop picks.
Here are our top predictions for the Thursday Night Football game between the Seahawks and Cowboys, along with our NFL picks and confidence ratings on a 1-to-5-star scale. Odds were sourced from our recommended NFL betting sites.
Seahawks vs. Cowboys prediction: Thursday Night Football
Cowboys -7 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The point spread for this matchup is surprisingly low, given Dallas’ dominance at home with five wins by 20 or more points and a plus-145 point differential at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys are on a roll with three consecutive wins by 20 or more points, a feat not accomplished since 1980. With seven wins by 20-plus points this season, Dallas is tied for the most in franchise history with six games remaining. Their 35-point victory over Washington marked their third division win by 30-plus points, tying a record since the 1970 merger with the 2010 New England Patriots.
The Cowboys’ recent success can be attributed to quarterback Dak Prescott’s outstanding performance. Prescott has thrown 17 touchdowns in his last five games, equaling the most in a five-game stretch in team history. He recently achieved his 10th game with four or more passing touchdowns, matching Tony Romo’s team record. Prescott leads the NFC in touchdown passes with 23 and ranks second among all quarterbacks in completion percentage (70%) and Total QBR (75%).
Our expert, Kelly Gage, also believes that Prescott will continue to perform well in his prop picks.
Seattle’s offense lacks the firepower to compete in this game, having only scored touchdowns on 13.2% of its drives in the previous six games, according to Sharp Football Analysis. This trend continued with zero offensive touchdowns in 10 possessions against San Francisco.
Dallas has a record of 2-2 when facing teams with a .500 or better win percentage, but they are winless in 0-2 against teams with a record above .500 this season. Despite this, the Seahawks appear to be struggling as quarterback Geno Smith and running back Kenneth Walker III are dealing with injuries and are not performing at their best.
Even if Prescott doesn’t continue his impressive passing streak, Seattle’s defense struggled against the run last week, giving up 114 yards and 6.0 yards per carry to Christian McCaffrey. This makes it a four-star play regardless of Prescott’s performance.
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Seahawks vs. Cowboys bonus codes
Seahawks vs. Cowboys best odds
DraftKings (-110)
DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|
-7 | -7 | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
-110 | -115 | -115 | -110 | -110 |
Fans of the Cowboys have a simple decision when it comes to finding the top value in sports betting apps. DraftKings is one of the two best options available, providing a touchdown spread at the standard -110 odds.
We are taking the -7 wherever possible, as we would prefer to bet on Dallas with the alternate spread if the line reaches -7.5 or above across the board before the game starts.
Seahawks vs. Cowboys odds
Seahawks vs. Cowboys odds analysis
Following the Week 12 Thanksgiving games, the Cowboys were available at -6.5 odds on FanDuel and bet365, and -6 on DraftKings by Friday afternoon. The line briefly reached -7 on all major sports betting sites before moving to -7.5 on bet365. Dallas, with an impressive 8-3 against the spread record this season, had received 67% of early point spread bets.
BetMGM is the sole top sportsbook offering an Over/Under line of 46.5, while all other leading sportsbooks have it set at 46. Line movement has consistently favored the Over, with initial numbers at FanDuel, DraftKings, and bet365 opening at 45.5 and increasing to 46.5. bet365 briefly reached a high of 46.5 before dropping back down. Early betting splits of 3/1 in favor of the Over are in line with this movement. The Over has been successful in seven of the Cowboys’ 11 games, while the Seahawks have a record of 5-6 in terms of Over/Under.
Thursday Night Football game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 30 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
- How to watch: PRIME VIDEO
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for the Seahawks-Cowboys game on 11/27/2023 was made at 6:19 a.m. ET.
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