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Steelers vs. Colts NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Saturday

Morgan Xaviero

Updated as of December 16, 2023 at 1:38 PM EST. Read time: 3 minutes and 42 seconds. Links: Twitter, Google News.

Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates after scoring a touchdown as we make our Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props picks and predictions for Week 15.
Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Cleveland, Ohio. Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images via AFP.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are gearing up to take on the Indianapolis Colts in a pivotal Week 15 showdown with AFC playoff implications. We’ve got you covered with our top player prop bets for the Steelers vs. Colts game on Saturday, featuring the best NFL odds from our top sportsbooks.

The second game of Saturday’s NFL tripleheader may not have the biggest names, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) taking on the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) in Week 15. However, there are still opportunities to find value in the player props market at NFL prop betting sites.

Both teams are in a crucial position this week as they are part of a six-way tie for the final two spots in the AFC playoff race. After suffering losses in Week 14, both teams have identified weaknesses in their offenses that need to be addressed.

Here are our top player props for the Steelers vs. Colts game on Saturday, in addition to our NFL Week 15 predictions and player props. We have rated the picks based on confidence levels from 1 to 5 stars, with odds provided by the best NFL betting sites.

Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props: Saturday

Zack Moss longest rush Under 14.5 yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my previous analysis of the game, I anticipated the Colts would secure a win at home, a positive sign for most starting running backs. However, Moss does not fit the typical mold of a starting running back, and that is not meant as a compliment.

Moss is 14th in yards per attempt but ranks last in broken tackles per rushing attempt at 57.7, only shedding three tackles out of 173 rushes. Since Week 13, when he regained the starting job, his 2.2 yards per carry are the second worst among all NFL starters.

Moss doesn’t rely solely on volume, as evidenced by his 19 carries in Week 13 where he gained five yards or less on each attempt. In his past two starts, he has only one rush of 10 yards or more and has managed just one carry of 15-plus yards in the last five weeks. Overall, he has only seven carries of 15-plus yards in 12 games.

He will get several opportunities in his next spot start on Saturday, but I don’t anticipate him having much success against a Steelers defense that has improved recently.

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Jaylen Warren Over 46.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There is a noticeable decrease in the total at NFL prop betting sites following Warren’s lackluster performance in Week 14, where he had his lowest rushing yards (11) since Week 1. However, he had surpassed this total in his last five games and is likely to do so again on Saturday.

Warren and Moss have contrasting styles as rushers, with Warren excelling in several key areas. He leads the NFL in yards per carry (5.6) and attempts per broken tackle (5.5), while also ranking second among all backs in yards before contact (3.6), yards after contact (2.1), and PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 50 attempts).

His highly effective performance led the Steelers to increase his workload, and he has excelled in handling the added responsibility. Over his last six games, the second-year running back has received at least nine carries in five of them, averaging 85.2 rushing yards. He has surpassed this total in all five games.

The only exception was last week, when he struggled against the strong New England Patriots defense, recording only seven carries for 11 yards. His running partner, Najee Harris, also had a tough game with just 12 carries for 29 yards, his lowest since Week 8. Harris was limited in practice this week due to an ongoing knee injury.

Considering Harris’ health and Warren’s consistent performance, I anticipate that Warren will receive more playing time against a Colts defense that has allowed the third-highest rushing yards per game (147) since Week 7.

Evans Santiago is supporting Warren by providing his predictions for anytime touchdown scorers on Saturday.

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Pat Freiermuth Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Freiermuth has been relatively quiet this season except for his impressive 120-yard performance in Week 12. While it’s unlikely he will have a similar breakout in Week 15, this matchup remains a favorable one for the Steelers’ tight end and is worth considering when placing bets on NFL prop betting sites.

The Colts’ secondary is improving, but their zone-heavy defense can still be vulnerable over the middle of the field. Indianapolis is among the bottom 10 teams in targets (106), receptions (72), and yards (733) allowed to tight ends so far this season.

Freiermuth has only surpassed this total twice so far this season, but he has received 23 targets in the last three weeks and tied for the team lead in targets (7) in the previous game. It seems inevitable that Freiermuth will have a breakout performance soon, similar to his game in Cincinnati. With the prop reaching as high as 33.5 at FanDuel, there is good value in placing this bet365 wager as well.

Player props for the Steelers-Colts NFL game on Saturday were set on Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Morgan Xaviero
Morgan Xaviero is a publishing editor and lead writer for Underscoreg Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, “C-Jax” has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Underscoreg Review team. He’s a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels’ championship run through the NCAA men’s basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he’s played a key role in Underscoreg Review’s coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he’s cashed some big bets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — he’s still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed “process over results” bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He’s written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn’t forgiven his “inside source” for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.