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Steelers vs. Colts NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Saturday

Morgan Xaviero

Updated on December 16, 2023 at 1:38 PM EST. Read time: 3 minutes and 42 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates after scoring a touchdown as we make our Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props picks and predictions for Week 15.
Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Cleveland, Ohio. Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images via AFP.

This week, the Pittsburgh Steelers are set to take on the Indianapolis Colts in a crucial Week 15 showdown with AFC playoff implications. We’ve got you covered with our top player props for the Steelers vs. Colts game on Saturday, featuring the best NFL odds from our top sportsbooks.

The second game of Saturday’s NFL tripleheader may not have the biggest names, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) taking on the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) in Week 15. However, there are still opportunities to find value in the player props market at NFL prop betting sites.

Both teams are facing a must-win situation this week as they are currently tied with five other teams for the final two spots in the AFC playoff race. After suffering losses in Week 14, both teams are now looking to address the weaknesses in their offenses and make necessary adjustments.

Alongside our NFL Week 15 predictions and player props, including our analysis of the Steelers vs. Colts matchup, we offer our top NFL player props for this game on Saturday. These picks are based on odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.

Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props: Saturday

Zack Moss longest rush Under 14.5 yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my analysis of this game, I predicted that the Colts would secure a victory at home, a positive indicator for most starting running backs. However, Moss does not fit the mold of a typical starter, and that is not meant as a compliment.

Moss is currently ranked 14th among qualified running backs in yards per attempt with 4.3. However, he is last in the league in rushing attempts per broken tackle at 57.7, having only broken three tackles on 173 rushes. His performance has declined since regaining the starting position in Week 13, with his 2.2 yards per carry ranking as the second-worst among all starting NFL running backs.

Moss is not solely focused on volume, as evidenced by his 19 carries in Week 13 where he gained five or fewer yards on each attempt. In his last two starts, he only had one rush of 10 yards or more and has only accumulated one carry of 15-plus yards in the past five weeks. Throughout 12 games, Moss has only managed seven runs of 15-plus yards.

He will have numerous opportunities in his next spot start on Saturday, but I don’t anticipate it will be very successful against a Steelers defense that has improved recently.

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Jaylen Warren Over 46.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The NFL prop betting sites are offering a discounted total for Warren after a lackluster performance in Week 14 where he had his lowest rushing yards (11) since Week 1. Despite this, he had exceeded this total in his last five games and is a strong bet to do so again on Saturday.

Warren stands in stark contrast to Moss as a rusher in several aspects: he tops the NFL in yards per carry (5.6) and attempts per broken tackle (5.5), and he is second among all running backs in yards before contact (3.6), yards after contact (2.1), and PFF’s elusive rating (minimum of 50 attempts).

His highly efficient performance led the Steelers to increase his workload, and he has excelled in the opportunity. In his second year, he has received at least nine carries in five of his last six games, averaging 85.2 rushing yards in those games. He has surpassed this prop total in all five contests.

The only exception was last week, when he struggled against a tough New England Patriots defense, rushing for only 11 yards on seven carries. His teammate Najee Harris also had a tough game, with only 29 yards on 12 carries, his lowest number of carries since Week 8. Harris was limited in practice this week due to a lingering knee injury.

With Harris dealing with health issues and Warren consistently performing well, I anticipate that Warren will see more playing time against a Colts defense that has allowed the third-highest rushing yards (147 YPG) since Week 7.

Evans Santiago is supporting Warren with his predictions for Saturday’s anytime touchdown scorers.

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Pat Freiermuth Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Freiermuth has been relatively quiet this season, with the exception of a standout performance in Week 12 where he racked up 120 yards. While it’s unlikely he will replicate that success in Week 15, it’s still a favorable opportunity for the Steelers’ tight end to shine at NFL prop betting sites.

The Colts’ secondary is improving, but their zone-heavy defense is still vulnerable over the middle of the field. Indianapolis is among the bottom 10 teams in targets (106), receptions (72), and yards (733) given up to tight ends through 14 weeks.

Freiermuth has only surpassed this total twice so far this season, but he has received 23 targets in the past three weeks and tied for the team lead in targets (7) in the previous week’s loss. It seems inevitable that Freiermuth will have a breakout game like he did in Cincinnati. With the prop bet reaching as high as 33.5 at FanDuel, there is good market value with this bet365 number as well.

Player props for the Steelers-Colts NFL game on Saturday were set on Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Morgan Xaviero
Morgan Xaviero is a publishing editor and lead writer for Underscoreg Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, “C-Jax” has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Underscoreg Review team. He’s a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels’ championship run through the NCAA men’s basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he’s played a key role in Underscoreg Review’s coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he’s cashed some big bets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — he’s still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed “process over results” bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He’s written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn’t forgiven his “inside source” for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.