Super Bowl Betting Strategies 2025: How to Approach Picks for the Big Game
After the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers, we are examining the top Super Bowl betting strategies and NFL odds from our trusted Super Bowl betting sites.
The 2026 Super Bowl started off slowly, but ended with an exciting finish as the Kansas City Chiefs emerged victorious over the San Francisco 49ers in the second overtime in Super Bowl history.
According to initial data from our top sports betting sites, this year’s Super Bowl saw a record number of bets placed, making it a historic day for sports betting. However, it was a challenging day for sportsbooks as the public overwhelmingly bet on the Chiefs and the Over for many popular player props.
We take pride in our accurate predictions, especially in our Chiefs vs. 49ers prediction and other forecasts for Kansas City. If you had a successful day or are hoping to rebound from a tough 2026, it’s never too soon to start thinking about our 2025 Super Bowl predictions.
While you wait, check out our top Super Bowl betting strategies and tips to get ready for next year’s Big Game.
How to bet on Super Bowl odds
The 2026 Super Bowl game between the Chiefs and 49ers created a significant divide between experts and casual bettors, as the majority of big money was placed on the favored San Francisco while most bets were placed on the underdog Kansas City.
Those supporting the favorites had to wager at -120 odds for the majority of the two weeks leading up to Super Bowl 58, requiring them to bet $120 to potentially win $100. On the other hand, those who bet on the Chiefs were pleased to redeem their tickets, most of which had favorable plus-money odds.
Some people bet on the total, which closed at 46.5, almost matching the exact combined score of Super Bowl 58. Others were focused on Super Bowl prop bet odds. There are different strategies to approach the Super Bowl, but some are definitely more lucrative than others.
Moneyline: Who will win the Super Bowl?
A moneyline bet is a straightforward prediction of the game’s winner, regardless of the point spread. In the case of a Super Bowl moneyline wager, only the team that wins outright will be rewarded.
As previously stated, the 49ers had odds of around -120 to win Super Bowl 58 at our top sportsbooks, requiring a $120 bet to win $100 if San Francisco emerged victorious. In contrast, the Chiefs had odds of +110 at most locations, resulting in a $110 profit for every $100 bet after Kansas City pulled off the upset win.
You are not required to bet $100 on the Super Bowl. For instance, by betting $10 on the Chiefs moneyline at +110 odds, you would have made $11 if they defeated the 49ers. You could have even placed a $1 bet to win $1.10 – there is no shame in starting small!
One of the most effective strategies for staying profitable as a sports bettor and having enough funds for the numerous prop bets offered during the annual Super Bowl is properly managing your bankroll.
Spread: Who will cover the Super Bowl line?
At the start of Super Bowl 58, the 49ers were favored by 2.5 points, but the line quickly shifted to as low as +1 for the Chiefs, who have won as underdogs in the last two Super Bowls.
Kansas City’s spread was between +1.5 and +2.5 on our top live betting sites, requiring them to win or lose by 1-2 points to cover. A two-point loss would have resulted in a win for bets at +2.5 but a loss for bets at +1.5.
Given the narrow point spread, numerous bettors opt to bet on the moneyline, a strategy that proved lucrative in 2026. However, having that extra point as a safety net can be advantageous if the odds are similar.
Over/Under: How many points will be scored?
When placing a bet on the total, you must determine if the total points scored by both teams will exceed or fall short of that number.
Both teams have had similar outcomes in the Super Bowl, making it difficult to predict a clear winner when betting on the game. The timing of the bet can also influence the outcome, as was evident in Super Bowl 58.
Throughout the two weeks leading up to the Big Game, the total points for the betting line hovered around 47.5. However, just before kickoff, it dropped to 46.5. The final score of 25-22 meant that a total of 47 points were scored, causing different outcomes for those who bet on the Over or Under depending on the timing of their wager.
Take a look at our odds for the Super Bowl and the Super Bowl MVP.
Other popular Super Bowl bets
Player props
Every year, the list of Super Bowl props seems to grow endlessly, and the Chiefs-49ers matchup in 2026 was no exception.
The player props are the most sought-after options, requiring you to bet on whether a player will surpass or fall short of certain totals such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and scoring a touchdown in our Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds.
If you want to profit off your football knowledge without having to predict the game outcome, player props are the best option.
Game props
Game props consist of a range of bets pertaining to specific outcomes within a game, such as predicting the score of the Super Bowl or placing wagers on game totals, exact margins, or the possibility of the Super Bowl going into overtime.
I enjoy betting on the Super Bowl opening kickoff touchback odds because historically there have been only nine touchbacks in Super Bowl history, despite the “Yes” option being the heavy favorite in recent years. These bets can add an extra level of excitement to your Super Bowl betting portfolio.
Novelty props
These props require more of your knowledge in pop culture than in football, or in the case of the highly favored Super Bowl coin toss odds, your willingness to gamble on a 50/50 chance.
Despite their whimsical nature, novelty props are a popular choice for bettors of all levels due to the potential value they offer in these markets.
Before the 2026 Super Bowl, we analyzed the odds for the national anthem performance, Usher’s halftime show, and the color of the Gatorade poured on the winning coach.
Anticipate those markets to be accessible before the 2025 Super Bowl, and we will ensure you are prepared when they are.
Parlay/SGPs
Parlays may not always be the most lucrative option for bettors seeking maximum profitability, but they offer an exciting opportunity to pursue a large payout by combining various outcomes into a single wager.
has a parlay to suit your taste, whether you’re a fan of the classics or prefer to live on the edge. The only real way to find out is to dive in yourself. Who knows, you might even end up a winner. We offer a wide range of bets, including the traditional straight-up parlay, which is a combination of two or more bets on a single ticket. If you prefer to mix and match, we also have teasers, pleasers, and over/under bets. And if you’re really looking to test your luck, try the parlay card, which allows you to pick the winners of several games in one shot. Whatever your style, we’ve got you covered. With our variety of bets and knowledgeable staff, you’ll be sure to find something that suits your fancy. So why wait? Dive in today and see what all the fuss is about. You might just win big! We also have a number of contests and promotions to keep things exciting. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or just starting out, you’ll find something to keep you entertained. So why not give it a shot? 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Long shots
If you want to increase your chances of a big payout without the added risk of a parlay, try placing one or two individual bets with high odds.
With a single bet, you only need one specific event to happen in order to win, unlike a parlay where multiple events must occur. By focusing on a unique angle that may be unlikely but possible, you have the chance to make a memorable win if it comes to fruition.
Before Super Bowl 58, we pointed out our top long-shot bets, and two of them ended up winning at high odds. Landing just one or two of these bets could be the deciding factor in whether you have a winning or losing day during the Big Game.
Super Bowl betting strategies
Track line movement
Understanding how the line is shifting and comparing prices on our top NFL betting sites can help bettors anticipate where the value is likely to go. For example, if the total increases from 47.5 to 50.5, it may be wise to avoid betting on a line that has already been devalued by the market.
Waiting too long to adopt new trends and constantly trying to follow the crowd could have negative consequences in the future if you are sacrificing potential benefits just to fit in. This is why it is important to start early and stay informed about changing trends in order to make the most informed decisions.
Create a narrative and stick with it
Before placing your bet on the Super Bowl, make sure to thoroughly research and decide on the type of game you anticipate seeing. With a plethora of statistics and trends available, you can make a strong case for various potential outcomes. However, it is crucial to create your own strategy for the game and base your bet on that plan.
For instance, if you were optimistic about the Chiefs’ passing game performing well against the 49ers, you might have considered placing a bet on the Over for Patrick Mahomes’ passing props. However, it would be risky to also bet the Under on Kansas City’s receivers without a clear understanding of which players Mahomes would be targeting.
Determining what to trust and remaining dedicated to it is a crucial skill for a disciplined gambler.
Shop around for markets AND odds
As a modern sports bettor, it is important to take advantage of the increasing number of legal betting options available. By comparing different options, you can ensure you are getting the best combination of favorable lines (such as spread or total) and top Super Bowl prices. Failure to do so would be a disservice to yourself.
At Underscoreg Review, we consistently emphasize the importance of line shopping, as it is central to our operations. As a crucial aspect of this, I want to emphasize the significance of reviewing our top sportsbook promotions, particularly for high-profile events like the Super Bowl, in order to maximize the benefits of each bet you make.
Super Bowl betting odds pages
Make sure to check out our Super Bowl betting promotions and all of our other NFL futures.
Here are our best Super Bowl betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21 or older. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER)* Bonuses are not available in Ontario.
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