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Nick Bosa of the San Francisco 49ers reacts after a sack during the fourth quarter against the Cleveland Browns as we look at our Super Bowl defensive props.
Nick Bosa of the San Francisco 49ers reacts after a sack during the fourth quarter against the Cleveland Browns. Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images/AFP.

The 2024 Super Bowl will feature a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers this Sunday. We have analyzed the NFL odds from our top Super Bowl betting sites to bring you the most accurate defensive prop predictions for the big game.

Leading up to Super Bowl 58, the focus has primarily been on the explosive offenses of the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers as they prepare to face off in Las Vegas on Sunday. However, it’s important not to overlook the impact of the defensive standouts in this highly anticipated matchup.

Both teams excelled in defensive statistics in the regular season, but their success in the postseason has been inconsistent. Kansas City’s defense has improved, will San Francisco’s top players step up in the same way on Sunday?

Here are our top Super Bowl Defensive props for Chiefs vs. 49ers, along with our Super Bowl odds, predictions, and confidence ratings on a 1-to-5-star scale, all sourced from our top NFL betting sites.

Super Bowl defensive props

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Super Bowl Defensive prop predictions

Nick Bosa to record a sack (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite finishing the regular season with his lowest sack total in three years, Nick Bosa still managed to lead the 49ers in sacks, recording at least one sack in seven games throughout the campaign for a total of 10.5 sacks.

Bosa recorded his only two sacks of the postseason against Jared Goff and the Lions two weeks ago. In the 2022 season, he was the lone San Francisco defender to sack Patrick Mahomes in their previous matchup.

Different versions of this prop bet can be found on our top sports betting websites, such as Bosa recording 0.25 sacks, currently at -115 on DraftKings. Despite Bosa only falling short of a full sack in two out of nine games where he recorded at least one sack, it may be more advantageous to bet on a yes/no proposition with better odds at Caesars.

To explore similar bets, be sure to review our comprehensive analysis of the Super Bowl sacks odds.

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Fred Warner Over 8.5 total tackles (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Warner dominated the 49ers’ defense this season, recording 132 total tackles and averaging 8.25 tackles and assists per game. He surpassed this impressive mark seven times during the regular season and has made a significant impact in the postseason with 20 tackles, including 13 in his last game against the Detroit Lions. In his two matchups against Kansas City, the veteran linebacker has tallied 17 combined tackles, with an impressive 11-tackle performance in their first meeting back in the 2018 season.

The Chiefs have given up 61 total tackles this year, with that number increasing to 66.7 in the last three games. In the AFC Championship Game, the Baltimore Ravens recorded 83 tackles against Kansas City as a team.

BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365 are all offering the Over prop bet at +115 for Warner. Meanwhile, DraftKings has set the odds at -105 for Warner to exceed this number.

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Justin Reid Over 4.5 solo tackles (+130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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During the 2023-24 season, offenses are finding it difficult to establish a running game against the Chiefs, who are allowing an average of 25.3 rushing attempts per game. Conversely, quarterbacks are throwing an average of 33.6 passes per game.

Reid has led the Chiefs in solo tackles (74) as a safety, achieving this in eight regular season games and once in the postseason. In his other two postseason games, he fell just one tackle short of this mark.

This prop can be found at a comparable price at many of our top sportsbooks, with DraftKings offering +124 and BetMGM at +125.

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