Isiah Pacheco Super Bowl Player Prop Predictions, Odds
Our top Isiah Pacheco Super Bowl player prop predictions are available, utilizing NFL odds from the premier Super Bowl betting sites, as he prepares to take on the San Francisco 49ers in the 2024 Super Bowl with his Kansas City Chiefs.
Although Isiah Pacheco has only been a part of the Kansas City Chiefs for two seasons, he is already aiming for his second Super Bowl victory as they prepare to face the San Francisco 49ers in the 2024 Super Bowl on Sunday.
Despite having fewer regular-season games under his belt than his rookie year, Pacheco has shown greater efficiency as both a rusher and receiver in 2024. In Super Bowl LIV, his predecessor Damien Williams had a standout performance with a game-high 104 rushing yards and a touchdown when the Chiefs defeated the 49ers. The question remains: can Pacheco replicate this success on Sunday?
Here are our top Isiah Pacheco Super Bowl player props for the Chiefs vs. 49ers matchup, along with our predictions and confidence levels on a scale of 1 to 5 stars. Odds are provided by our recommended NFL betting sites.
Isiah Pacheco player props: 2024 Super Bowl
- Isiah Pacheco to score Chiefs’ first touchdown (+260 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Isiah Pacheco and Christian McCaffrey to combine for 200+ rush yards (+350 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Isiah Pacheco Under 2.5 receptions (+132 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Isiah Pacheco player props predictions
Isiah Pacheco to score Chiefs’ first touchdown (+260 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Pacheco has scored a rushing or receiving touchdown in seven straight games, totaling eight touchdowns in that time. This impressive streak has led to bettors taking his -120 anytime touchdown scorer odds at DraftKings seriously.
We have decided to skip the bet on his +475 odds to score multiple touchdowns, as he has only achieved that feat once this season. Instead, we are opting for the better value of +260 odds at DraftKings for Pacheco to score Kansas City’s first touchdown.
Oddsmakers are hinting that Pacheco is favored to score the first touchdown, as he has the lowest odds among Chiefs players, with tight end Travis Kelce following closely behind at +285 odds.
In five out of the last six playoff games, Kelce has been the first to score a touchdown for Kansas City. However, San Francisco’s rush defense has shown weakness recently, giving up an average of 106.3 rushing yards per game to running backs in the last three games, compared to their regular season average of 89.7 rushing yards allowed per game (which was the third-best in the league).
Furthermore, no other player on the Chiefs’ roster has been given a carry inside the 5-yard line during the playoffs aside from Pacheco. Therefore, he should be the top choice for rushing attempts if the team decides to run the ball rather than throw it.
Although we are not as enthusiastic about Pacheco’s +650 odds at DraftKings to score the first touchdown of the game due to the 49ers’ high rate of scoring first this season, the +260 odds at DraftKings for Pacheco to score first for Kansas City are more favorable than the +240 odds at bet365. This makes it a better value play compared to FanDuel’s +185 odds for a running back to score first for the Chiefs.
Make sure to take a look at our analysis of the top Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds and other predictions for anytime TDs.
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Isiah Pacheco and Christian McCaffrey to combine for 200+ rush yards (+350 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
This bet is slightly riskier than a regular play on a Pacheco prop, as it requires strong performances from two players to be successful. However, considering how frequently both the Chiefs and 49ers defenses focus on the run game, we anticipate big performances from both players.
The Chiefs and 49ers were among the top five teams in EPA allowed per dropback, with Kansas City ranking third (-0.103) and San Francisco ranking fifth (-0.036). However, both teams struggled against the run, with the Chiefs ranking 27th or worse (-0.025) and the 49ers also ranking 27th or worse (-0.034) in EPA allowed per rush.
Recently, both Pacheco and McCaffrey have dominated their teams’ backfield touches. Pacheco had a 75% snap share and took 76% of Kansas City’s rushing attempts in the playoffs, while McCaffrey played 95% of San Francisco’s snaps and received 71% of its rushing attempts.
McCaffrey, in particular, is an expert at racking up fantasy points. Ian Hartitz of Fantasy Life highlighted that McCaffrey holds the record for the most fantasy PPR points per game in NFL history among players with at least 50 games under their belt.
We are placing this bet on DraftKings, which offers a more profitable opportunity to capitalize on strong performances from the running backs. Both players have odds of no better than -110 to exceed their projected rushing totals individually.
We delve deeper into the performances of these two players in our rushing props and Christian McCaffrey NFL player props.
Chiefs fans looking to support Pacheco and his teammate in a big game can use our special Caesars promo code: SBRBONUS1000 to get boosted odds from +140 to +165. This offer includes Pacheco rushing for 60-plus yards and teammate Rashee Rice recording 50-plus receiving yards.
Isiah Pacheco Under 2.5 receptions (+132 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
This offer is exclusive to new customers who deposit a minimum of $5. Place your first bet of $5 or more, and if your bet wins within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
This is a rare player prop bet where bettors don’t need to use alternative lines to win a good payout.
Pacheco has only caught one pass in two out of the three playoff games so far. On average, he has caught 1.8 passes per game since last season. This season, he is catching an average of 3.1 passes per game. However, he has only been targeted five or more times in 43% of the games (six out of 14).
Also, Pacheco has only been on the field for 57% of Kansas City’s two-minute drive plays during the postseason, giving him a great chance to catch short dump-offs from Mahomes.
This play is rated three stars due to the potential impact of Jerick McKinnon’s return from IR on Pacheco’s involvement in the passing game. McKinnon’s average of 7.7 yards per reception in the regular season was higher than Pacheco’s average of 5.5. Additionally, despite playing in two fewer games, McKinnon accumulated only 52 fewer receiving yards than Pacheco.
FanDuel offers the most favorable value for this bet in comparison to Caesars, whose odds are on the lower end at +115.
For additional wagers in this market, consider exploring our top receiving prop bets.
Isiah Pacheco’s player prop picks were made on Friday at 6:31 a.m. ET.
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