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Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams passes the ball in the NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers.
Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams passes the ball in the NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers. Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images via AFP.

After 13 seasons in the NFL, Matthew Stafford will finally have the opportunity to play in the Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Rams. Check out some of our favorite player prop bets for Stafford in the 2022 Super Bowl.

Throughout his 12 seasons with the Detroit Lions, Stafford showcased himself as a talented NFL quarterback by throwing for 45,109 yards in 165 starts. Despite his individual success, the team struggled overall, posting a record of 74-90-1 with Stafford at the helm.

The Rams, a playoff team in search of a quarterback upgrade, believed that putting Stafford in a situation with a stronger supporting cast would create optimal conditions for success. In 2021, Stafford threw for 4,886 yards, his highest total in a season since 2012. Despite leading the league in interceptions with 17, his most since 2013, he also tied his career-high with 41 touchdown passes. Additionally, Stafford’s average of 8.1 yards gained per pass attempt matched the highest full-season rate of his career.

After an excellent regular season, Stafford continued his efficient play in the postseason, completing 72.0% of his passes and throwing for 905 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception in three playoff victories. As he aims to secure his first Super Bowl victory, Stafford will undoubtedly be a major focus for the media on Sunday.

Below are the player prop bets for Matthew Stafford in Super Bowl 56, ranked by confidence on a 1 to 5-star scale, with odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player props usually consist of a specific number along with a total, requiring the bettor to guess whether the prop will exceed or fall short of the projected line.

Prop bets provide an entertaining opportunity to engage in the game without committing to a specific team. They are typically a more reliable source of profit compared to traditional game betting.

Check out: Super Bowl Betting Guide

Matthew Stafford Super Bowl Player Prop Bets

Passing yards under 281.5, passing touchdowns over 1.5, interceptions over 0.5, completions under 24.5, first touchdown over 12.5 yards, first pass complete.

Check out: Rams vs. Bengals Predictions

Stafford Super Bowl Props

Under 281.5 passing yards (-110)

Stafford has surpassed the 282-yard mark in 12 out of 20 games this season, playoffs included. He came close with 280 yards in Week 4 and 278 yards in Week 2.

Stafford will be up against the Cincinnati Bengals defense, which has given up an average of 247.7 passing yards per game, the seventh highest in the league. The Bengals also allow 6.7 yards per pass attempt, ranking 16th in the league.

During the playoffs, the Bengals have given up an average of 243.7 passing yards per game to quarterbacks Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, and Patrick Mahomes. Therefore, it is not out of the question to believe that they could limit Stafford’s passing yardage below the anticipated amount.

Check out: The Reasons Why the Rams Are Going to Win the Super Bowl

Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-230)

Several sportsbooks are offering a line of 2.5 touchdowns for Stafford, which adds complexity. However, Stafford has thrown a minimum of two touchdown passes in nine out of his last ten games. The only game where he fell short was in Week 16 against the Minnesota Vikings, which ended up being Stafford’s worst performance of the season, even though the Rams managed to secure a 30-23 victory.

Cincinnati’s defense has performed above average this season by allowing only 26 passing touchdowns and a touchdown percentage of 4.2%. In the playoffs, they have given up five touchdown passes in three games. With this in mind, it is reasonable to expect Matthew Stafford to throw for two touchdowns in the upcoming game against the Bengals, but unlikely that he will score more than that.

Over 0.5 interceptions (-145)

Stafford only threw one interception in the three playoff games, but he had eight interceptions in the last four games of the regular season.

The Bengals have already snagged six interceptions in just three playoff games, a significant improvement from their regular season stats where they had only 13 interceptions and a 2.1% interception rate, ranking 19th in the league. The big question now is whether Stafford can maintain his ball protection in the postseason, but the Bengals are poised to capitalize on any mistakes he makes and secure at least one interception.

Check out: 56 Super Bowl Prop Bets

Under 24.5 completions (-114)

This line is pretty fair, considering that Stafford had 25 or more completions in 10 out of 20 games this season, playoffs included. Stafford’s completion rate of 67.2% in the regular season and 72.0% in the playoffs would suggest that Cincinnati would have to limit his effectiveness in order to keep him below the line.

During the regular season, the Bengals gave up an average of 24.7 completions per game, which has improved to 23.3 completions per game in the playoffs. Their regular season completion percentage of 67.1% ranked 26th in the league, but in the playoffs, that number has decreased to 59.8%.

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First TD Over 12.5 yards (+100)

Stafford has thrown six playoff touchdown passes this season, two of which were over 12 yards and another at 11 yards. In the regular season, 19 of Stafford’s 41 touchdown passes were gains of 12 or more yards. In the AFC Championship Game, the Bengals allowed three touchdown passes of 10 yards or less, but throughout the season, 14 of the 26 touchdown passes against the Bengals were at least 13 yards.

First pass complete (-225)

This pick is based on the anticipated game flow and a cautious strategy to kick off the game. Stafford has successfully completed his first pass in 16 out of 20 games this season, even managing to do so despite two passes resulting in negative yardage. Given this track record, it is reasonable to feel optimistic about Stafford’s likelihood of completing his first pass against Cincinnati.

Where to Bet on the Super Bowl

These are our highest-rated sportsbooks for odds boosts.

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