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Head coach Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs talk prior to a preseason game against the Chicago Bears, and we offer our top NFL win total predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Head coach Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs talk prior to a preseason game against the Chicago Bears. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images via AFP.

Our top teaser picks for the NFL Divisional Round feature the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles as ripe candidates, both coming off their bye weeks and standing out as notable home favorites.

Teasers are a favorite among both experienced and casual bettors, allowing you to adjust multiple spreads and/or totals across key numbers and ranges to increase your chances of winning. Check out our teaser betting guide for more tips and strategies.

Below are our NFL teaser selections for the Divisional Round, with odds provided by DraftKings and confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Take a look at the predictions and probability for which team Tom Brady and Lamar Jackson will play for next.

Divisional Round NFL Teaser Picks

  • Six-point teaser: Chiefs -2.5 + Eagles -1.5 (-120 via DraftKings)

Chiefs (-2.5 vs. Jaguars)

After defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-17 in Week 10 at Arrowhead Stadium, the Kansas City Chiefs are poised for a similar outcome this Saturday. Head coach Andy Reid has an impressive 27-4 career record following a bye week, and quarterback Patrick Mahomes has led the team to victory in their last three divisional-round games after a week off. It’s hard to ignore these statistics when predicting the Chiefs’ success.

Despite Trevor Lawrence’s impressive performance during Jacksonville’s recent 7-1 winning streak, Patrick Mahomes is still considered superior due to his experience, talent, and the strong group of skilled players surrounding him.

I typically don’t give much weight to home-field advantage, but with cold and wet weather expected in Kansas City on Saturday night, the Chiefs’ familiarity with Arrowhead Stadium could work in their favor. I think the spread can be adjusted to less than a field goal, and I trust the combination of Reid and Mahomes to cover the reduced number in this situation.

Take a look at our Super Bowl odds for 2023 as well as our odds for Super Bowl MVP.

Eagles (-1.5 vs. Giants)

I believe that the Eagles have a significant advantage in this schedule spot.

The Eagles had the advantage of a week off to rest and prepare, while the New York Giants are facing their third straight road game and fifth in a span of six weeks. That’s a significant amount of time spent traveling.

Although I acknowledge New York’s impressive 14-4 record against the spread, I believe they are a much weaker team in terms of talent and performance. The Giants ranked 29th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and allowed the fifth-highest EPA per play during the regular season. Additionally, their performance declined after their Week 10 bye, with second-to-last rankings in both metrics.

By utilizing a six-point teaser, the line is shifted across key numbers, ultimately landing below a field-goal spread. My prediction is that Philadelphia will score heavily, revealing the limitations of New York’s defense which has outperformed expectations.

Divisional Round NFL Teaser Best Odds

DraftKings (-120)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
-120 -134 -149 -145-154 ❄️

Each sportsbook has its own rules for teasers, so it is crucial to understand how they handle pushes. Some sportsbooks consider a push as a loss, while others may remove the pick and adjust the odds. In some cases, you may have to manually select an alternative point spread for each game before creating a parlay. This is the procedure with BetMGM, Caesars, and PointsBet.

DraftKings and FanDuel Underscoreg are the most user-friendly sportsbooks for placing teaser bets. In the event of a push, the odds are adjusted accordingly. DraftKings specifically offers the best number for a six-point Chiefs-Eagles teaser, giving bettors a 6.1% edge and an 11% positive expected value. This makes DraftKings a much better option than PointsBet for this particular wager.

Teaser picks for the NFL Divisional Round were selected on 1/17/2023 at 3:00 p.m. ET.

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