Texans vs. Bears Picks, Predictions NFL Week 3: Lovie Smith Returns Home

Head coach Lovie Smith of the Houston Texans looks on prior to a game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field At Mile High on September 18, 2022 in Denver, Colorado. Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images via AFP.

Lovie Smith makes his first appearance at Soldier Field as an opposing head coach this Sunday when his Houston Texans, currently 0-1-1, take on the Bears. Smith previously led the Bears to Super Bowl XLI. Stay tuned for our Texans-Bears picks.

The Texans have yet to secure a victory this season with a record of 0-1-1, but they have managed to cover the spread in both of their games. They tied the Indianapolis Colts 20-20 in Week 1 and covered against the Denver Broncos in a 16-9 loss in Week 2.

The Bears have a 1-1 record both straight up and against the spread. They surprised the San Francisco 49ers with a 19-10 victory at Soldier Field in Week 1, but then fell to the Green Bay Packers 27-10 on Sunday Night Football at Lambeau Field.

These are our Week 3 NFL picks for the Texans-Bears game, with odds from FanDuel, PointsBet, and DraftKings, and confidence ratings on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Texans vs. Bears Game Info

Sunday, September 25th at 1 p.m. ET on CBS, the game will be held at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. The weather forecast is 74 degrees with 0% chance of precipitation and 7-mph winds.

Texans vs. Bears Odds Analysis

Following Week 1, the Bears were initially favored by 3 points. However, the line has since decreased to 2.5 points at -115 through BetMGM, while staying at 3 points across other platforms. Despite 67% of the bets supporting Chicago, they only make up 45% of the total amount wagered.

At one point, the Bears were favored at -165, but their odds have since dropped to -144 at FanDuel. If you’re betting on the Texans, the best odds can be found on DraftKings, where they are listed at +130 on the moneyline.

The opening total of 38.5 has risen to 40.5 universally. PointsBet offers the best price for the Over at -107, while FanDuel has the Under at -105. There is a strong preference for the Under in terms of both tickets and handle.

Texans vs. Bears Picks

Spread: Bears -3 (-105 via FanDuel) ★★★★★
Over/Under: Under 40.5 (-107 via PointsBet) ★★★★
Prop pick: Bears to score first and win (+150 via DraftKings) ★★★★

Texans vs. Bears ATS Pick

Bears -3 (-105) ★★★★★

The Bears have thrown the ball only 28 times in their first two games, the fewest of any team. Their strategy revolves heavily around running the ball, as they have averaged 139.5 yards per game on the ground, ranking them eighth in the NFL.

The Texans have had difficulty defending against the run, giving up an average of 163.0 yards per game on the ground, ranking them 30th in the league. As a result, I anticipate that the Bears will focus on running the ball and dominating the game.

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Texans vs. Bears O/U Pick

Under 40.5 (-107) ★★★★

Despite the Over/Under increasing by 2 points, neither of these teams has played a game this year that exceeded the betting total.

The offenses of both teams are equally ranked as the 26th-worst in points per game, averaging 14.5. However, their defenses are the stronger sides, with the Texans allowing 18.0 points per game and the Bears allowing 18.5.

Texans vs. Bears Prop Pick

Bears score first and win (+150) ★★★★

Despite their poor performance in a 27-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers last week, the Bears did have a strong opening drive that resulted in the game’s first touchdown. In contrast, the Texans failed to score in the first quarter in Week 1 and only managed three points in the opening quarter of Week 2.

I predict that regardless of whether the Bears start with the ball or hold the Texans on their first drive, Chicago’s offense will execute their game plan, score first, and ultimately win the game.

Where to Bet on Texans vs. Bears Picks

These are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel Underscoreg
Caesars Underscoreg
DraftKings Underscoreg
PointsBet
BetMGM

Additionally, explore UnderscoregReview.com’s community forums and betting tools for all picks, odds, and sports betting news.

Picks for the Texans-Bears game were made on 9/21/2022 at 8:57 a.m. ET.

Written By:
Johnson Olivia

Johnson Olivia has been a sports fan, primarily a football fan, since he can remember. After starting to write articles about his favorite NFL team, the Chicago Bears over ten years ago, he has since covered the NFL, College Football, USFL, and the CFL. He’s a fan of the game and is also a statistics nerd. Breaking down numbers and analyzing games, and bets to place on them is a true passion.