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Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos in action during the first quarter against the Seattle Seahawks. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images via AFP.
Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos in action during the first quarter against the Seattle Seahawks. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images via AFP.

Russell Wilson’s first game with the Denver Broncos didn’t go as expected, but they are looking to bounce back with a stronger performance at home against the Houston Texans. Here are our top picks for the Texans-Broncos matchup.

After a lackluster showing in their season opener, the Denver Broncos suffered a 17-16 loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. Meanwhile, the Texans managed to avoid defeat in their Week 1 matchup against the Indianapolis Colts with a 20-20 tie at home and will now travel for their next game.

The upcoming game on Sunday will be the first time these teams have faced each other since 2019 and the Texans’ first trip to Denver since 2018. In recent matchups, the Broncos have had the upper hand against Houston, winning and covering the spread in three of their last four games, all by double-digit margins.

Below are our top selections for the NFL Week 2 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Los Angeles Rams, with odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars. Picks are rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars based on confidence.

Texans vs. Broncos Game Info

Sunday, September 18th at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS, the game will be held at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. The weather forecast is 84 degrees with 0% chance of precipitation and 3mph winds.

Texans vs. Broncos Odds Analysis

Despite receiving the support of 68% of the handle on 77% of the tickets, the Broncos’ spread has decreased from Denver -11 to -10.

The total has shifted from an initial line of 42 to 45, with 83% of the handle and 62% of the tickets supporting the Over/Under by Sunday morning.

Texans vs. Broncos Picks

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Texans vs. Broncos ATS Pick

Broncos -10 (-110) ★★★★

In Monday’s game, the Broncos were up against an emotionally charged opponent and had to deal with unfortunate bounces and questionable decisions made by rookie head coach Nathaniel Hackett. Ultimately, it seemed like the Broncos were their own worst enemy, rather than being defeated by the Seahawks.

If Hackett has indeed learned his lesson from the mistakes made in Monday’s game by taking the ball out of Russell Wilson’s hands, and if the Broncos can avoid repeating the costly goal line fumbles that turned the tide in Seattle’s favor, they should be in a good position to outperform a Texans team that had difficulties scoring on the road last season.

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Texans vs. Broncos O/U Pick

Over 45.5 (-110) ★★★★

With the Texans scoring single-digit point totals in five road games last season, NFL bettors may lean towards the Under. The Colts also held the Texans to just 73 total yards after falling behind 20-3 early last week.

Although the Texans may not have to make many contributions for the Over to be successful, the Broncos are expected to bring a strong offensive game following their loss on Monday. This could result in the Broncos taking advantage of any opportunities against the Texans defense, leading to a high-scoring game. Additionally, the Texans may score some garbage time points, further pushing the total Over.

Texans vs. Broncos Prop Pick

Wilson Over 244.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★

Russell Wilson had a strong Week 1 performance despite the Broncos not securing the win. He accumulated 340 passing yards and showed great chemistry with receiver Jerry Jeudy, resulting in 112 yards and a touchdown. Wilson also effectively utilized short passes, completing 11 of 12 attempts to Javonte Williams for 65 yards.

Given the Texans’ difficulty in stopping Colts quarterback Matt Ryan, who threw for 352 yards last week, it is highly likely that Wilson will throw for over 300 yards in the upcoming game.

Where to Bet on Texans vs. Broncos Picks

These are the sportsbooks that have received our highest ratings:

Picks for Texans vs Broncos game were made on September 16, 2022 at 12:35 p.m. Eastern Time.