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Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce #87 celebrates as part of our Week 13 NFL predictions for Chiefs vs. Packers
Tight end Travis Kelce #87 celebrates a play by running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs in the third quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Chiefs defeated the Raiders 31-17. Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images/AFP

We are predicting Travis Kelce’s performance in the Sunday Night Football game between the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs based on the NFL odds available at our prop betting sites.

Due to a lack of reliable offensive weapons, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has encountered obstacles that have affected the performance of tight end Travis Kelce. However, in the most recent game, Kelce broke out with six receptions for 91 yards, putting an end to a three-game stretch where he failed to surpass 60 receiving yards.

This season, Kelce has only had two games with over 100 receiving yards, the latest one being in Week 6. With the ninth-ranked pass defense in the NFL up next, there is excitement about how Kelce will play on Sunday night.

Here are our top Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for the Week 13 Sunday Night Football game between the Chiefs and Packers. These predictions are based on our Chiefs vs. Packers analysis and player props, with odds sourced from our trusted NFL betting sites. Our confidence in each prediction is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Get more insight into SNF with our Patrick Mahomes and Jordan Love player props for the NFL game.

Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for Week 13

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Travis Kelce player props

Travis Kelce Under 70.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

This season, rival teams have challenged the Chiefs to win without relying solely on Kelce. As a result, Kelce’s performance has declined from the previous year, with an average of only 73.2 yards per game. The Packers are likely to adopt a similar strategy this week, and we anticipate that they will be successful in limiting Kelce’s impact.

The Packers defense is only giving up an average of 205.1 passing yards per game, ranking them in the middle of the NFL in yards allowed to tight ends with 538 surrendered this season. Kelce has relied on favorable matchups to perform well this season, but the Packers do not provide one in this game.

All of our top sports betting apps, with the exception of FanDuel, have the total listed at 70.5. FanDuel has it at 69.5, with -114 odds for the under. Kelce has only reached 70 yards three times this season, but there’s a chance he could have a big game, which is why this is only a three-star play at our top sportsbooks.

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Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

Despite Kelce’s difficulties in gaining receiving yards, he has managed to secure at least six catches in eight out of his 10 games. Six seems to be the key number for him, and FanDuel is currently offering the best odds for him to achieve at least that many catches, with a line of -188.

Kelce has been the target of at least eight passes in eight out of 10 games this season. He has caught at least seven passes in five of those games. The Chiefs are making a concerted effort to involve Kelce in the game plan, utilizing short passes and screen designs. While these plays may not result in many yards gained, they do help Kelce quickly accumulate catches. With a consistent performance, betting the over on Kelce’s production is the smart choice this week.

DraftKings and BetMGM are both offering -110 odds for over 6.5 receptions, while other sportsbooks are asking for at least -115 for the same bet. It’s not a sure thing, so make sure not to place a bet at -120 or worse if that’s the best price available when you’re ready to wager.

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Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in half of his 10 games this season, but he has not yet had a game with multiple touchdowns. The majority of his touchdowns (four out of five) have come against teams with the weakest pass defenses in the league.

Despite being a top-10 pass defense, the Packers have given up four tight end touchdowns this season, which ranks tied for 11th-worst in the league. Kelce is known for his prowess in the red zone, and in a game where he might have difficulty in the middle of the field, we anticipate Mahomes targeting him more in scoring opportunities.

DraftKings stands out as the top sports betting app, with the lowest prop offering at +100. In comparison, others have it at -105 and Caesars is priced at -133, which is too costly given Kelce’s performance this season. If you can’t find a price under -110 at one of our top sportsbooks, it’s not a worthwhile bet.

Travis Kelce’s player prop selections were made on December 2, 2023 at 9:51 a.m. Eastern Time.

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