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Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars looks to pass as we offer our Trevor Lawrence NFL player props for MNF
Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars looks to pass during the first quarter of a game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images via AFP.

The Monday Night Football game in Week 13 features the Jacksonville Jaguars facing off against the Cincinnati Bengals. We’re here to provide our top Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions using the latest NFL odds.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have an impressive 8-3 record so far this NFL season, but quarterback Trevor Lawrence has not met expectations in his third year in the league.

As Week 13 begins, the player who was once the top overall draft pick has thrown just 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He is also averaging less than 250 passing yards per game, ranking 13th among all quarterbacks.

In Monday Night Football, Lawrence will go up against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that is ranked sixth in allowing passing yards per game this season, with 249.6 yards per game. Will the Jaguars quarterback be able to surpass 300 passing yards for the second week in a row?

In addition to our analysis of Bengals vs. Jaguars and our player prop picks for Ja’Marr Chase, we are also offering our top Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions for Monday Night Football. Our confidence in these picks is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars, based on odds from our top NFL betting sites.

Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions for Week 13

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Trevor Lawrence player props: Monday Night Football

Trevor Lawrence Over 241.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Jaguars could potentially defeat the Bengals by such a wide margin that Lawrence only needs to throw the ball 30 times or less on Monday night. In his past four games with 30 or fewer passing attempts, his highest yardage total is 207. Nevertheless, due to the Bengals’ struggling defense in recent games, Lawrence is likely to surpass this yardage mark even if the Jaguars dominate the game from beginning to end.

In the past three games, the Bengals have given up more than 400 yards of total offense. In their most recent game, they allowed Pittsburgh Steelers QB Kenny Pickett to throw for a season-high 278 yards. With QB Joe Burrow out, the Bengals’ offense struggles to sustain drives, leaving the defense vulnerable to fatigue. This could lead to a big day for Lawrence against a defense that is allowing an average of 249.6 passing yards per game.

Out of the top five sports betting apps, four have the prop listed at 241.5. FanDuel has it at 247.5, and while we would choose the Over at that number, the price of -114 makes it not worth it. Currently, bet365 is offering the best price for over 241.5.

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Trevor Lawrence Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite facing a weak defense, the majority of our top sports betting sites are predicting that Lawrence will throw less than two touchdowns in the upcoming game. So far this season, he has only thrown two touchdowns in three games and has never thrown more than that.

Despite the Bengals’ struggling defense, they are actually allowing the 10th-fewest passing touchdowns per game. Running back Travis Etienne Jr. has scored seven touchdowns this season and is poised to shine against a defense that gives up the eighth-most rushing touchdowns per game, stealing the spotlight from Lawrence once again.

The prices for the Under on this game range from -110 to -130, with FanDuel currently offering the highest price. We recommend not playing this any lower than -115, as Lawrence has the potential for a big game, especially if the Jaguars can capitalize on their drives.

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Trevor Lawrence Over 20.5 completions (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Lawrence probably won’t have to throw more than 20 passes in this game, but he most likely will. He has thrown at least 20 passes in all but one game this season, and has thrown more than 20 passes in eight games.

The Bengals have been limiting opposing teams to just 17.6 completions per game on the road this season. However, the Jaguars are the favored team in this matchup and should be calling the shots. Lawrence has been averaging 22.8 completions per game at home, so even if the Jaguars win by a large margin, Lawrence is likely to surpass this number.

Four out of the top five sportsbooks have the total listed at 20.5. FanDuel, however, has it at 21.5 with odds of -102 for the Over. While this is a good deal, it may not be worth risking taking the prop bet at a higher number than what is available elsewhere. There is no guarantee that Lawrence will complete at least 21 passes, let alone 22.

Player prop picks for Trevor Lawrence were made on December 3, 2023, at 9:56 a.m. Eastern Time.

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