Vikings vs. Broncos Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 11: Sunday Night Football
The upcoming Sunday Night Football matchup between Denver and Minnesota promises to be a thrilling game, and our top prediction for the Vikings vs. Broncos showdown is based on the most favorable NFL odds available.
Despite losing Kirk Cousins for the season and being without Justin Jefferson in Week 11, the Minnesota Vikings don’t seem to be affected.
Joshua Dobbs, the newest addition to the team, is already making a name for himself in Minnesota, and the Vikings are heading into Sunday Night Football with an impressive five-game winning streak, leading the league.
At the start of the week, Minnesota was only 1.5 games behind the Detroit Lions in the NFC North. A team that was previously considered a contender for a high draft pick is now a serious playoff contender.
At the same time, the Denver Broncos (4-5) have experienced a resurgence this season with three consecutive wins. Their recent victories over Super Bowl contenders, the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills, highlight their impressive turnaround.
Be sure to see our prediction for the Vikings-Broncos game on Sunday Night Football. Don’t forget to check out our player props and parlay options for the Vikings vs. Broncos matchup. Odds are provided by our top NFL betting sites, and confidence levels are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Vikings vs. Broncos prediction: Sunday Night Football
Broncos -2 (-110 via BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Vikings quarterback Joshua Dobbs has made a remarkable impact since being traded to Minnesota. In just a short amount of time, he has achieved a rare feat of accumulating over 400 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, and zero interceptions in his first two games with the team. What’s even more impressive is that one of these games occurred shortly after Dobbs received the team’s playbook.
Furthermore, Dobbs is the fourth player in Vikings history to achieve a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games. Despite an impressive total QBR of 88 in two games, Dobbs faces a tough challenge against a defense that shut down two of the NFL’s top quarterbacks in recent matchups.
Denver’s defense limited Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen to a combined 60.9% completion rate, an average of 210.5 passing yards, a 1-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and only allowed 31 total points. This strong defensive performance is a stark turnaround from their earlier struggles, where they were giving up an average of 40.7 points per game, allowing 7.2 yards per play, and had an efficiency rating of 13, according to ESPN Analytics.
Since that time, Denver has given up an average of 20.8 points per game and 5.8 yards per play in the last five games. They have also achieved an efficiency rating of 52. The Broncos have only allowed six touchdowns on 42 drives (14.3%) since Week 6, which is the fourth-lowest touchdown rate in the NFL during this period, according to PFF.
This play is rated three stars because Denver’s defense is ranked in the top eight in EPA/play since Week 6, as well as EPA per dropback and red-zone touchdown rate. Given the cold weather and high chance of precipitation in Denver on Monday night, we are more inclined to support the team that is accustomed to playing in those elements rather than one that plays its home games indoors.
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Vikings vs. Broncos best odds
BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 (-110)
FanDuel is the sole sportsbook providing a spread of -2.5, but Broncos supporters may want to consider another option as it is offering a -105 price at a slightly higher spread.
Choosing to take the points rather than laying -110 odds with a spread of -2 will be more appealing. Minnesota often plays in close games, with nine out of 10 in 2026 and a total of 12 in 2026, so we will gladly accept any extra points when betting against the Vikings.
Vikings vs. Broncos promo codes
Vikings vs. Broncos odds for Sunday Night Football
Vikings vs. Broncos odds analysis
Denver is currently favored by -1 or -1.5 at most sportsbooks, with Caesars briefly offering -3 before adjusting to -2.5. The majority of early bets are on Denver, with 75% of wagers supporting them. Meanwhile, Minnesota has been performing well on the road, with a four-game cover streak.
Only Caesars and bet365, two of the top sports betting sites, offer a total of 43, while all other books have it at 43.5. The totals at FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, and bet365 briefly dropped to 42.5 this week, but it appears to be the lowest it will go. Bettors pushed the number back up across all the top live betting sites whenever it hit that mark. Early bets are evenly split, with 58% of the support going to the Over.
Sunday Night Football game info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 19 at 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: 36 degrees, 37% chance of precipitation, wind 12-mph north winds
Prediction for Vikings vs. Broncos game on 11/15/2026 at 4:21 p.m. ET
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