Vikings vs. Broncos Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 11: Sunday Night Football
The highly anticipated Sunday Night Football matchup between Denver and Minnesota will be the focus of our top Vikings vs. Broncos prediction, which is rooted in the most favorable NFL odds available.
Despite losing starting quarterback Kirk Cousins for the season and superstar wide receiver Justin Jefferson for Week 11, it appears that the Minnesota Vikings are not fazed by these setbacks.
The newly acquired Joshua Dobbs is fast becoming a legend in Minnesota, as the Vikings enter Sunday Night Football with an impressive five-game winning streak, leading the league.
Minnesota started the week only 1.5 games behind the Detroit Lions in the NFC North. The team, which was previously seen as a contender for a top draft pick, has now emerged as a potential playoff contender.
At the same time, the Denver Broncos (4-5) have made a comeback this season with three consecutive wins, including impressive victories against Super Bowl favorites the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills in the past two weeks.
Be sure to see our Vikings-Broncos forecast for Sunday Night Football, and be sure not to overlook our Vikings vs. Broncos NFL player props or Vikings vs. Broncos parlay (odds sourced from our top NFL betting platforms; Selection confidence rated on a 1 to 5-star scale).
Vikings vs. Broncos prediction: Sunday Night Football
Broncos -2 (-110 via BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Joshua Dobbs, the new quarterback for the Vikings, has achieved something extraordinary in his brief time since being traded to Minnesota. In just two games, Dobbs has already made history by being the first player to record over 400 passing yards, over 100 rushing yards, and zero interceptions with a team. What makes this feat even more impressive is that Dobbs accomplished it shortly after joining the team and learning the playbook in just a few days.
Moreover, Dobbs has become the fourth player in Vikings history to achieve a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games. Despite his impressive total QBR of 88 in two games with Minnesota, Dobbs faces a tough challenge going up against a defense that shut down two of the top NFL quarterbacks in recent matchups.
Denver limited Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen to a combined 60.9% completion rate, averaging 210.5 passing yards, a 1-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and only allowing 31 total points. This comes after the Broncos defense struggled in their first three games, giving up an average of 40.7 points per game, allowing 7.2 yards per play, and earning an efficiency rating of 13, as reported by ESPN Analytics.
Since then, Denver has given up an average of 20.8 points per game and 5.8 yards per play in the last five games, with an efficiency rating of 52. The Broncos have only allowed a touchdown on 6 out of 42 drives (14.3%) since Week 6, which is the fourth lowest rate in the NFL according to PFF.
This game is rated as a three-star play, as Denver’s defense is among the top eight in EPA/play since Week 6, as well as EPA per dropback and red-zone touchdown rate. Additionally, with the cold weather and high likelihood of precipitation in Denver on Monday night, we favor the team that is more experienced in playing in those conditions compared to a team that typically plays home games indoors.
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Vikings vs. Broncos best odds
BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, bet365 (-110)
FanDuel is the sole sportsbook providing a -2.5 spread, but Broncos supporters may want to consider their options as the shop is offering a -105 price with a spread half a point higher.
Betting on the team with better odds will be seen as more appealing than risking -110 odds with a -2 spread. Considering Minnesota’s track record of playing in close games, we will gladly accept any extra points when betting against the Vikings.
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Vikings vs. Broncos odds for Sunday Night Football
Vikings vs. Broncos odds analysis
Denver has seen favorable line movement in their favor, with most sportsbooks opening with the Broncos as a slight favorite of -1 or -1.5. While Caesars briefly posted -3, other shops have stuck with a ceiling of -2.5, with the line mostly fluctuating between -2 and -2.5. Despite Minnesota’s four-game road cover streak, 75% of early wagers are backing Denver, making the point spread for this game heavily lopsided.
Only Caesars and bet365 among our top sports betting sites offer a total of 43, while all other books are at 43.5. The totals at FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, and bet365 briefly dropped to 42.5 this week but have since rebounded. Bettors consistently pushed the number back up whenever it reached that low point. Early wagers are evenly split, with 58% of the support going towards the Over.
Sunday Night Football game info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 19 at 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: 36 degrees, 37% chance of precipitation, wind 12-mph north winds
Prediction for Vikings vs. Broncos made on November 15, 2026 at 4:21 p.m. Eastern Time.
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