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Golden Knights vs. Stars Predictions & Odds: Today’s Game 7 NHL Playoffs Expert Picks

Gray Bryan

Updated as of May 5, 2024 at 5:30 PM EDT. Read time: 2 minutes and 57 seconds. See Twitter link and Google News link for more information.

Matt Duchene (95) of the Dallas Stars celebrates after scoring a goal against the Vegas Golden Knights, as we offer our best Golden Knights vs. Stars expert picks for Sunday's Game 7.
Matt Duchene (95) of the Dallas Stars celebrates after scoring a goal against the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 5 in the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at American Airlines Center on May 1, 2024 in Dallas. Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images via AFP.

The Vegas Golden Knights will face off against the Dallas Stars in a crucial Game 7 on Sunday. Here are our top predictions for the Golden Knights vs. Stars matchup, taking into account the latest NHL odds.

Tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET, the Dallas Stars (52-21-9) will face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8) in the second Game 7 of the 2024 NHL playoffs at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, closing out this thrilling first-round series.

The Stars are favored with a -148 moneyline across our top sports betting platforms following the Knights’ survival in Friday’s game. Noah Hanifin and Mark Stone (empty-net) scored crucial goals for the Knights. Both goaltenders, Jake Oettinger and Adin Hill, put on outstanding performances, with Oettinger making 28 saves on 29 shots and Hill recording a 23-save shutout.

In addition to our Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions, we are also providing our top Golden Knights vs. Stars predictions and NHL picks. Our selections are based on odds from the top NHL betting sites and confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Golden Knights vs. Stars Game 7 expert picks

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Golden Knights vs. Stars predictions for Sunday

Under 5.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

In six games, the teams have scored a total of 29 goals, with nine of them occurring in just two periods. The first period of Game 1 saw five goals, while the first period of Game 5 had four goals. Excluding those two periods, there have only been 20 goals scored in the remaining 16 periods (plus 16:23 of overtime).

The Stars had the second-lowest expected goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (2.22) in the regular season, with the Knights close behind in 10th place (2.46). With two talented goalies guarding the net, don’t expect to see many goals scored against these teams.

The total for Game 7 on Saturday between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins has quickly dropped to five at some of our top sports betting apps, starting at 5.5. I anticipate the line to continue to decrease, so I am betting on the Under 5.5 at -120 before the odds change significantly.

Top chance: -120 on betPARX

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Stars ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Stars excelled with a 26-11-4 record at home in the regular season, while the Golden Knights struggled with an 18-17-6 record on the road. Vegas seems to have a special touch at T-Mobile Arena that doesn’t quite translate when playing away from home.

Dallas has consistently outperformed their opponents in terms of expected goals share in most of the games played. Despite having a 57.8% xGF and 64.06% xGF in Games 1 and 2, the Stars still lost at home by scores of 4-3 and 3-1.

The Stars could have an advantage due to Peter DeBoer’s flawless 7-0 coaching record in Game 7s. Despite the odds being -148, equivalent to a 59.68% chance of winning and a $6.76 profit on a $10 bet according to our odds converter, this is the wager to place.

DraftKings offers the best odds at -148.

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Tyler Seguin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal ⭐⭐⭐

Tyler Seguin, an experienced forward, is showing he’s not giving up easily. He has surpassed 2.5 shots on goal in five out of the six games played, with four shots on goal in Game 6.

Seguin has recorded at least 3 shots on goal in his last four games, 10 of his last 13, and 13 of his last 19 dating back to the regular season. With a do-or-die Game 7 on the line, expect Seguin to continue firing away for the Stars.

Top odds: +105 available at DraftKings

Golden Knights vs. Stars Game 7 info & odds

  • When: Sunday, May 5
  • Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center
  • How to watch: TBS, TruTV
  • Favorite: Stars (-148 via DraftKings)

Predictions for the Golden Knights-Stars game were made on Saturday at 3:55 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gray Bryan
Gray Bryan is a contributing writer at UnderscoregReview.com, covering hockey and baseball. He is the lead NHL writer and editor at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, where he also co-hosts the Hockey Gambling Podcast. Ryan covers the Philadelphia Flyers for Broad Street Hockey and co-founded Sons of Penn. His past stops include NBC Sports Regional Networks and NHL.com.