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Florida Panthers left wing Matthew Tkachuk skates with the puck defended by Edmonton Oilers defenseman Philip Broberg as we dive into the best SGP for Tuesday's Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final.
Florida Panthers left wing Matthew Tkachuk skates with the puck defended by Edmonton Oilers defenseman Philip Broberg in the first period in Game 4 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place. Photo by Perry Nelson via USA TODAY Sports

The Florida Panthers have long imagined hoisting the Stanley Cup, and now they have a shot at redemption as they face off against the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 at Amerant Bank Arena. Check out our NHL odds-based predictions for the Oilers-Panthers matchup.

The Edmonton Oilers have won all three potential elimination games so far and must win the next one to force a Game 6 in Edmonton on Friday. On the other hand, the Florida Panthers are aiming to win their first Stanley Cup on their home ice. They are expected to win Game 5 and secure the championship. The game will start at 8 p.m. ET on ABC.

The Oilers’ chances of winning the Stanley Cup improved significantly after their 8-1 win in Game 4, but they still face a difficult road ahead to overcome their series deficit. Only one team in history, the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs, has managed to come back from an 0-3 series deficit to win the Stanley Cup.

Here is my top Same Game Parlay for tonight’s potential decider, including our expert pick for the Oilers-Panthers game and Game 5 prop picks.

Oilers vs. Panthers parlay for Game 5

Check the odds on our top NHL betting sites and choose your confidence level using a 1 to 5 star rating system.

  • Mattias Ekholm Over 1.5 shots (-154) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Matthew Tkachuk Over 2.5 shots (-166) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Evan Rodrigues Over 1.5 shots (-175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Total odds: +315 at DraftKings

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SGP predictions for Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5

Mattias Ekholm Over 1.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I anticipate the Panthers will showcase their physical dominance tonight, especially on the defensive end. With a fierce and aggressive approach, they will aim to restrict the Oilers’ carry-in entries.

This should prompt Edmonton to dump the puck in and set up the forecheck, with Ekholm playing a more prominent role at the point. Ekholm has managed to get at least two shots on goal in every game of the Stanley Cup Final.

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He is just as tough, resolute, and unwavering as they get. Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final is the ideal opportunity for Ekholm to demonstrate his physical dominance and contribute from the defense. This leg has a -154 odds, suggesting a 60.63% chance of success.

Matthew Tkachuk Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Tkachuk, a fan of the spotlight, is ready to shine on the big stage. His impressive skills make him a perfect fit for exciting events, and there’s nothing more thrilling than the opportunity to win the team’s first Stanley Cup on home ice.

Recently plagued by bad luck, Tkachuk has not found the back of the net in nine consecutive games. Despite his team’s disappointing loss in Game 4, he was a consistent threat on the ice. Tkachuk has recorded at least three shots on goal in six out of the last eight games, including two of the four Stanley Cup Final matches.

I anticipate a strong comeback from the Cats, led by Tkachuk, who is expected to be the focal point. This bet has odds of -166, indicating a 62.41% chance of success.

Evan Rodrigues Over 1.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Rodrigues had a fantastic beginning to the Stanley Cup Final, scoring three goals in Games 1 and 2 at home. The late-bloomer continues to shine, with at least three shots in three of the last four games and five of the last seven. The dream is still alive for Rodrigues.

Rodrigues has been thriving on the Panthers’ top line alongside Aleksander Barkov and Sam Reinhart, taking advantage of his captain’s exceptional passing skills. His speed has posed challenges for the Oilers’ defense, especially Darnell Nurse, Cody Ceci, and Vincent Desharnais.

This leg has a -175 odds, indicating a 63.64% chance of winning. When all three legs are combined, the odds are +315, with a 24.10% probability of winning. If all legs are successful, a $10 bet would result in a $31.50 profit.

SGP picks for Oilers-Panthers were made on Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET.

Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5 odds

Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5 info

  • When: Tuesday, June 18
  • Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Amerant Bank Arena (Sunrise, Fla.)
  • How to watch: ABC, ESPN+, Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Panthers (-133 via BetMGM)
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