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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Buffalo Brings Battle to Toronto

Scott Cullen

Updated on March 13, 2023 at 11:07 AM EDT • Read time: 2 minutes and 41 seconds. Links to Twitter and Google News.

Buffalo Sabres center Tage Thompson skates up the ice with his stick raised, ready to shoot.
Tage Thompson of the Buffalo Sabres skates up ice in the third period during their NHL game against the Vancouver Canucks. Photo by Derek Cain/Getty Images via AFP.

In a crucial playoff battle, the Buffalo Sabres are set to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in a tough matchup on Monday. Check out sports betting analyst Scott Cullen’s top NHL pick for the game, based on the most favorable NHL odds.

Having lost four consecutive games, the Sabres are in a precarious position with little room for error. They currently trail the New York Islanders by seven points for the second wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference. Despite having three games in hand, catching up to the Isles will be a challenging feat.

On Saturday, the Maple Leafs defeated Edmonton 7-4 and currently sit in second place in the Atlantic Division with 88 points in 65 games. Toronto is four points ahead of Tampa Bay with two games in hand, giving them a strong chance at securing home-ice advantage in a potential first-round playoff matchup against the Lightning.

Below is our top pick for the Sabres vs. Maple Leafs NHL game, with odds provided by FanDuel. Our confidence level in this pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs pick

Sabres +1.5 (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The Sabres perform better when they play away games.

Buffalo’s home record at KeyBank Arena in the 2022-23 season is a disappointing 13-18-3, with a points percentage of .426, which is tied with the Chicago Blackhawks for 28th place. This performance is not ideal for a team aiming for a spot in the playoffs.

Despite this, the Sabres have an impressive road record of 19-10-2, ranking eighth with a points percentage of .645. Additionally, they have only experienced a multi-goal loss in four of their last 23 road games, demonstrating their competitiveness even when they do not come out on top.

The Sabres will face a tough challenge in Toronto, as the Maple Leafs have an impressive 24-6-4 record at Scotiabank Arena. Their .765 home points percentage is second only to the Boston Bruins. However, for Sabres bettors searching for optimism, it’s worth noting that the Leafs have only won nine games by multiple goals in their last 20 home games.

The Sabres have shown strong road success, making the puck line a valuable option for them. While an outright win against the Maple Leafs may be a challenge, the puck line remains a three-star selection due to Buffalo’s competitiveness and ability to cover the spread.

Take a look at our most recent Hart Trophy betting odds.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs best odds

FanDuel (-113) 

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Sabres +1.5Sabres +1.5Sabres +1.5Sabres +1.5Sabres +1.5
-115-113-115-120-121

Our top sportsbooks have different pricing for the Sabres puck line, with FanDuel leading the way at +1.5 (-113), followed closely by DraftKings at -115. BetMGM and Caesars are both at -120, while PointsBet has the highest price.

Take a look at our betting odds for the Rocket Richard Trophy and Norris Trophy.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs odds

Take a look at our Calder Trophy betting odds.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs odds analysis

At the start, FanDuel had the Maple Leafs as strong favorites at -240, while the Sabres were underdogs at +195.

Toronto is receiving 72% of the moneyline wagers, causing the line to shift. The Maple Leafs are now favored at -255, while the Sabres are the underdogs at +205.

The initial total was set at 6.5, with the Over listed at -142 and the Under at +116. The total briefly increased to 7.5 before returning to 6.5. Currently, 53% of bets are on the Over, causing the odds to adjust to -164 for the Over and +134 for the Under.

The odds are high at 6.5 and other top sportsbooks have the total set at 7, so FanDuel may increase it soon.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs game info

  • Date: Monday, March 13, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet, TVAS, MSG-B
  • Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

The Sabres-Maple Leafs selection was finalized on March 13, 2023, at 11:15 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Scott Cullen
Scott Cullen is UnderscoregReview.com’s Sports Betting Analyst and is one of the most well-known sports betting writers on the web. He wrote about fantasy sports for TSN for many years, and he has also written for The Athletic, NHL.com, The Hockey News, Monkey Knife Fight, and McKeen’s Hockey. Born in Kitchener, Ontario, Canada, Cullen was an Economics major at Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Ontario and played for the Laurier Golden Hawks hockey team.