Copa America 2024 Top Goal Scorer Odds & Predictions: Argentina’s Martinez Heavy Favorite
The milk cartons featuring Messi’s picture as a missing person must have had an impact, as he finally scored in the 2024 Copa America semifinals. However, despite his goal, he is still far behind the leaders with only one game left to play.
Our top soccer betting sites currently have Lautaro Martinez, a teammate of his, as the favorite to win. Martinez, who plays for Inter Milan, has been a standout player in the tournament, scoring four goals, which is two more than any other player. It’s worth noting that Martinez didn’t even start in the semifinal match against Canada.
Martinez’s exceptional performance has positioned Argentina as the frontrunners in the Copa America, as they prepare to face their last opponent. With Martinez securing a two-goal advantage and Argentina being heavily favored to win the championship, the Golden Boot award is within his grasp.
Uruguay’s Darwin Nunez is his main competition, with odds shorter than +1400. Nunez scored goals in La Celeste’s first two games, but has not scored since then.
Top goal scorer odds for Copa America 2024
Top goal scorer odds for Copa America from our top sports betting sites as of July 10, ranging from best odds to worst odds.
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | -340 | -370 | -333 | -400 | -400 |
| Darwin Nunez | +500 | +500 | +450 ❄️ | +550 | +500 |
| Luis Diaz | +1600 | +1900 | +1600 | +1400 ❄️ | +1800 |
| Julian Alvarez | +2000 | +2400 | +1900 | +1400 ❄️ | +2200 |
| Jhon Cordoba | +2500 | +3100 | +2500 | +2000 ❄️ | +2800 |
| Lionel Messi | +3000 | +2900 | +2500 | +2000 ❄️ | +2500 |
| Maximiliano Araujo | +3500 | +3400 | +3000 ❄️ | OFF | +3300 |
| Daniel Munoz | +4000 | +4400 | +4000 | OFF | +4000 |
Copa America 2024 top goal scorer favorites
Lautaro Martinez (-333)
Martinez of Argentina scored four goals during the group stage and the first quarterfinal game, giving him a two-goal lead over his closest competitors. His teammates Messi and Alvarez are behind with four and three goals respectively and are no longer considered top contenders.
Martinez has scored in five out of the last eight international matches he has participated in, totaling 28 goals in 63 appearances for Argentina.
The player from Inter Milan entered the game as a substitute during Argentina’s semifinal match against Canada, with his team maintaining a comfortable two-goal lead as they head into the final.
Top odds: -333 on BetMGM with an implied probability of 76.92%
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Darwin Nunez (+550)
Nunez was a strong candidate for the award from the start. With goals in Uruguay’s first two games and top players failing to score, he is still a strong contender.
Uruguay has had an impressive showing in this tournament, showing no signs of slowing down. The player from Liverpool has scored 10 goals in the team’s last eight matches. However, he was unable to find the back of the net in the recent games against Brazil on Monday and Saturday, leaving him two goals behind the current leading goal scorer Martinez.
Caesars offers the best odds at +550, with an implied probability of 15.38%.
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My Copa America 2024 top goal scorer player to watch
Luis Diaz (+1900)
As Argentina only has two games left and Messi has yet to score, it’s time to focus on which players to watch in the knockout rounds. Colombian forward Luis Diaz is one to keep an eye on.
Diaz scored only one goal in the group stage, but he was one of several Colombian players who found the back of the net during a dominant 5-0 victory over Panama in the quarterfinals. He scored eight goals for Liverpool in the Premier League last year and was also one of the top goal scorers in the previous Copa America.
It seems highly improbable that anyone besides Martinez will emerge victorious in this award.
FanDuel offers the best odds at +1900, with an implied probability of 5.00%.
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What to look for in a Golden Boot winner
There are numerous methods to pinpoint strong contenders for the Golden Boot at a significant international competition.
Begin by choosing players who have a higher chance of progressing further in the tournament. This is why Messi’s odds are low, given his exceptional goal-scoring skills and the potential to reach the final.
Additionally, it is important to focus on teams that prioritize offense. If a team consistently wins games by only scoring one or two goals, even their top player may not be the best choice in this market. However, this factor is less crucial in this tournament compared to the Euros, as South American teams generally play a more attacking style of football.
Another key factor to consider is identifying players who are responsible for taking penalties. As a Premier League fantasy player who witnessed the significance of Cole Palmer as Chelsea’s penalty taker, it is crucial to monitor this aspect. With Messi likely to take penalties for Argentina, this further solidifies our reason to consider betting on him.
If you’re seeking higher odds and wish to avoid the favorites, consider focusing on players in easier groups. While it’s true that advancing further in the tournament provides an advantage, a forward who excels against weaker opponents may have a chance to win the Golden Boot in fewer games.
How to bet on the 2024 Copa America top goal scorer odds
Four of our top sportsbooks offer odds for the leading goal scorer. You can place bets on who will win the Golden Boot, as well as on individual goal scorers for every match in the tournament.
As the tournament approaches and games are played, the odds of players leading in goals will fluctuate. Players with lower odds are seen as more likely to achieve this feat.
Past Copa America top goal scorers
| Year | Player(s) | Country | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Lionel Messi/Luis Diaz | Argentina/Colombia | 4 |
| 2019 | Everton/Paolo Guerrero | Brazil/Peru | 3 |
| 2016 | Eduardo Vargas | Chile | 6 |
| 2015 | Eduardo Vargas/Paolo Guerrero | Chile/Peru | 4 |
| 2011 | Paolo Guerrero | Peru | 5 |
| 2007 | Robinho | Brazil | 6 |
| 2004 | Adriano | Brazil | 7 |
| 2001 | Victor Aristizabal | Colombia | 6 |
| 1999 | Rivaldo/Ronaldo | Brazil | 5 |
| 1997 | Luis Hernandez | Mexico | 6 |
In the event that two or more players finish the tournament tied for the most goals scored, the outcome will be deemed a dead heat. In this scenario, the anticipated winnings will be divided equally among the players who share the lead.
Where can you bet on Copa America 2024?
All five of our top sites featuring the best sportsbook promotions are currently offering odds for Copa America 2024, as the tournament is quickly approaching and the group-stage matches are already scheduled.
Copa America 2024 FAQs
Who is the 2024 Copa America top goal scorer favorite?
Lautaro Martinez of Argentina is the favorite to be the top goal scorer in the 2024 Copa America, with odds as low as -400 indicating an 80.00% chance of him achieving this feat.
Who won the last Copa America Golden Boot?
Lionel Messi and Luis Diaz both tied for first place in the goal-scoring chart at the 2021 Copa America.
Where is the 2024 Copa America?
Atlanta and Miami Gardens will be hosting matches for the 2024 Copa America, to be held in the United States.
When is the 2024 Copa America?
The tournament started on June 20, 2024 and is scheduled to end on July 14, 2024.
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