Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Odds & Predictions: Gakpo Favorite Ahead of Semifinal Clash; Olmo Joins Fray
A new addition has entered the crowded group of top goal scorers in Euro 2024, with Spain’s Dani Olmo scoring his third goal in their semifinal win against France. Despite this, many of the top soccer betting sites continue to favor Cody Gakpo of the Netherlands as the leading contender for the Golden Boot award.
The Dutch team will face off against England and top goal-scorer contender Harry Kane in the final semifinal match on Wednesday.
Spain has become the frontrunner in Euro 2024 odds following their 2-1 victory over France in the semifinals. This has propelled Dani Olmo to the top of the leaderboard, making him a potential favorite depending on the source.
Despite their teams being eliminated, Georges Mikautadze of Georgia, Jamal Musiala of Germany, and Ivan Schranz of Slovakia, the other three players with three goals, still remain on the oddsboard.
Top goal scorer odds for Euro 2024
(Euro top goal scorer odds as of July 10 from various sports betting sites ranked from best to worst)
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Gakpo | +220 | +250 | +187 ❄️ | +260 | +225 |
| Dani Olmo | +225 | -120 | +220 | -162 ❄️ | +250 |
| Harry Kane | +700 | +800 | +600 ❄️ | +650 | +800 |
| Jude Bellingham | +1200 | +1300 | +1000❄️ | +1600 | +1200 |
| Georges Mikautadze | +1600 | OFF | +1600 | OFF | +2000 |
| Jamal Musiala | +1600 | OFF | +1600 | OFF | +2000 |
| Ivan Schranz | +1600 | OFF | +1600 | OFF | +2000 |
| Fabian Ruiz | +1600 | +2100 | +2000 | +8000 | +1400 ❄️ |
| Donyell Malen | +3000 | +3400 | +2500 ❄️ | +8000 | +3300 |
| Memphis Depay | +3000 | +4400 | +2500 ❄️ | +10000 | +4000 |
2024 Euro top goal scorer favorites
Cody Gakpo (+260)
Gakpo was often underestimated as a strong candidate for the award, as he was in the shadow of more prominent players on his club team, Liverpool, and his Netherlands squad was not seen as contenders before the tournament.
The team raised doubts after finishing third in Group D behind Austria and France with a record of 1-1-1. However, the Netherlands silenced the critics by becoming the top third-place team in the group stage with a dominating 3-0 victory over Romania in the Round of 16.
Gakpo has found the back of the net in three out of the five games played in the tournament, but was unable to score in the Netherlands’ 2-1 win over Turkey in the quarterfinals. The next match is against England on Wednesday, and our expert Gonzales Oona will provide a preview in his prediction for the Netherlands vs. England game.
Top odds: +260 at Caesars | Implied chance: 27.78%
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Dani Olmo (+250)
Olmo has now scored in three consecutive games, bringing his total shot attempts to 15 during the Euros. The 26-year-old’s impressive performance has been instrumental in Spain’s journey to the final.
Olmo has scored two goals in Euro 2024 qualifiers and has a total of 11 goals in 37 games with Spain’s national team, including a goal against Costa Rica in the last World Cup.
If he manages to score in the final match, he could secure the Golden Boot award.
Top odds: +250 on bet365 | Probability implied: 28.57%
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Harry Kane (+800)
Kane was the top scorer at the 2018 World Cup, netting six goals in seven games. He holds the record for most goals scored by an England player, with 65 goals in 95 appearances. The England captain also scored eight goals in the Euro 2024 qualifiers and has a total of 14 goals in 26 matches across Euro and World Cup tournaments.
England has had a slow start to the tournament, only scoring five goals in five games. It is worth noting that Kane scored the only goal in their second game and the winning goal in their fourth game. He is currently just one goal behind the leading scorers.
FanDuel offers the best odds at +800, implying a probability of 11.11%.
Only new customers are eligible for this offer. After depositing a minimum of $5, place your first bet of $5 or more. If your bet wins within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
My Euro 2024 top goal scorer player to watch
Jude Bellingham (+1600)
Having already scored one of the most memorable goals of Euro 2024, Bellingham’s odds for leading in goals are surprisingly long. A $10 bet on him to top the leaderboard could earn a $150 profit. If Bellingham scores against the Netherlands, his odds could skyrocket.
Bellingham has scored the same number of goals as Kane and Olmo, putting him just one goal behind the top scorers.
Caesars offers the best odds at +1600, indicating an implied probability of 5.88%.
Euro 2024 betting pages
- Euro 2024 odds
- Euro Golden Boot odds
- Euro 2024 bracket
- England Euro 2024 odds
- Euro Long-Shot Picks
What to look for in a Golden Boot winner
There are numerous methods to pinpoint strong contenders for the Golden Boot in a significant international competition.
It is important to choose players who have a higher probability of advancing further in the tournament. While Ronaldo may score multiple goals in the group stage, if his Portuguese team is eliminated in the Round of 16 and Mbappe and France make it to the final, Mbappe would have a better opportunity to score more goals.
Furthermore, it is important to focus on teams that prioritize offense. If a team consistently wins games by scoring only one or two goals, even their top player may not be the ideal choice for this particular market.
Another important factor to consider is the players who are designated penalty-takers. In Premier League fantasy, players like Cole Palmer have shown their value by being on penalties. It is crucial to keep an eye on players like Harry Kane, who will likely be England’s penalty-taker due to his role as captain and exceptional finishing ability.
Additionally, it is important to consider players who are guaranteed to start in the lineup. While Phil Foden and Bukayo Saka are tempting choices due to their long odds, Gareth Southgate’s lineup decisions remain uncertain. It may be wise to hold off on betting on them until we have more clarity on their roles within the team.
If you are seeking higher odds and prefer to avoid the favorites, consider focusing on players in less challenging groups. While it is true that players who advance further will have an advantage, a forward who excels against weaker opponents may still have a chance to win the Golden Boot in fewer games.
How to bet on the 2024 Euro top goal scorer odds
Two of our top sportsbooks offer odds on the leading goal scorer. You can place bets on the Golden Boot winner, as well as individual goal scorers for each match in the tournament.
As more games are played, the odds of each player leading the tournament in goals will fluctuate, with each goal having a significant impact on the odds early on. A player with lower odds is considered more likely to lead the tournament in goals.
Past Euro top goal-scorer leaders
| Year | Player(s) | Country | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Cristiano Ronaldo/Patrik Schick | Portugal/Czechia | 5 |
| 2016 | Antoine Griezmann | France | 6 |
| 2012 | Fernando Torres/Alan Dzagoev/Mario Gomez/Mario Mandzukic/Mario Balotelli/Cristiano Ronaldo | Spain/Russia/Germany/Croatia/Italy/Portugal | 3 |
| 2008 | David Villa | Spain | 4 |
| 2004 | Milan Baros | Czechia | 5 |
| 2000 | Patrick Kluivert/Savo Milosevic | Netherlands/Yugoslavia | 5 |
| 1996 | Alan Shearer | England | 5 |
| 1992 | Henrik Larsen/Karl-Heinz Riedle/Dennis Bergkamp/Tomas Brolin | Denmark/Germany/Netherlands/Sweden | 3 |
| 1988 | Marco Van Basten | Netherlands | 5 |
| 1984 | Michel Platini | France | 9 |
In the event that two or more players are tied for the top goal scorer at the conclusion of the tournament, the outcome will be considered a dead heat. Consequently, the potential winnings will be divided equally among the players who share the lead.
Where can you bet on Euro 2024?
All five of our top sites featuring sportsbook promotions are currently offering Euro 2024 odds as the tournament draws near and group-stage matches are set to begin.
UEFA Euro 2024 FAQs
Who is the 2024 Euro top goal scorer favorite?
Cody Gakpo from the Netherlands is the frontrunner to top the goal-scoring charts at the 2024 Euros, with odds as low as +187. This suggests a 34.84% chance of winning the Golden Boot, based on our odds converter.
Who won the last Euros Golden Boot?
Cristiano Ronaldo and Patrik Schick both ended the 2020 Euros as top goal scorers, but Ronaldo was awarded the Golden Boot title due to the tiebreaker rule.
Where is the 2024 Euro?
The 2024 Euro will be hosted by Germany, with matches taking place in 10 cities.
When is the 2024 Euro?
The tournament started on June 14, 2024 and is scheduled to end on July 14, 2024.
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