Germany vs. Denmark Odds, Picks & Predictions

Kai Havertz of the German national team arrives at Pratt & Whitney Stadium before a match against the United States national team. Photo by Eric Canha via USA TODAY Sports

Denmark faces an uphill battle in their Round of 16 match against hosts Germany on Saturday, according to our prediction based on the odds from top soccer betting sites.

Denmark has struggled against host teams at European championships, losing all five previous contests. On the other hand, host nations have had a decisive advantage, winning 12 out of the last 14 knockout matches, excluding penalties, thanks to the support of their fans and other home luxuries.

Denmark, who were fortunate to advance after three consecutive group-stage draws, are also struggling against the current form. Meanwhile, Germany has been dominant in their matches against Scotland and Hungary, only tying Switzerland in the team’s Group A finale. Consequently, the Germans are considered clear favorites on our top sports betting apps and have the third-shortest odds going into the Euro 2026 knockout phase.

Germany and Denmark have each won two out of their last four head-to-head clashes at major tournaments.

Germany vs. Denmark predictions for Saturday

Final score: Germany 2 – Denmark 0 (+650 via FanDuel)
Kai Havertz anytime goal scorer (+200 via FanDuel)
Best bet: Germany and Under 3.5 goals (+115 via BetMGM)

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Germany vs. Denmark score prediction

Germany 2 vs. Denmark 0

Germany were as dominant and unbeatable in their first two matches as an angry Wolverine. They easily defeated Hungary and Scotland, scoring a combined 7-1. However, their Round of 16 match against Denmark is likely to be a much tougher challenge.

Denmark, like many teams at Euro 2026, has a defense that can withstand long periods of pressure. Their organization, discipline, and relentless attitude will pose a significant challenge for Germany in finding any weaknesses to exploit.

Nevertheless, Germany has an abundance of attacking talent capable of scoring a spectacular goal or taking advantage of a rare mistake by Denmark. The first goal will set the tone for the rest of the game, leading Denmark to become more aggressive like a fine wine opening up in a decanter. This will likely result in Germany scoring their second goal, most likely from a well-executed counter attack.

Apart from Christian Eriksen and Morten Hjulmand’s strikes against England, Denmark has been as threatening as a baby holding a limp rubber knife.

Rasmus Højlund has only managed to take two shots in his first 209 minutes of play in the Euros. I doubt that the team’s weak offensive performance will suddenly improve against a strong German defense.

FanDuel is offering +650 odds which provide the most value, giving a $65 profit on a $10 bet. These odds imply a 13.33% probability of winning.

Top odds: +650 offered by FanDuel

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Germany vs. Denmark anytime goal scorer prediction

Kai Havertz, Germany

Although Niclas Fullkrug and Jamal Musiala are appealing choices for the anytime goalscorer market, I ultimately selected Kai Havertz, despite not being as fast, dynamic, or strong as the other two players.

Nonetheless, it is highly likely that Havertz will be in the starting lineup, with Fullkrug expected to come off the bench, a role in which he excelled during the group stage. Fullkrug remains a reliable option to demonstrate why he is considered the top substitute in the tournament.

I support Havertz for two main reasons. Firstly, he has a lot of experience, with 17 goals in 49 appearances for the national team. Secondly, Havertz is Germany’s designated penalty taker, having scored against Scotland recently. With his track record of two goals in the past four matches, he has the potential to score a game-changing goal for the home team.

FanDuel and bet365 are offering the best value for this prop at +200 odds, while BetMGM and DraftKings have Havertz at +175. The +200 odds imply a probability of 33.33%, and a $10 bet would result in a $20 profit.

Top odds: +200 at FanDuel

Germany vs. Denmark best bet

Germany ML and Under 3.5 goals

Germany is the clear favorite in this match, but the moneyline doesn’t offer much value. To increase my potential winnings, I’m pairing Germany with Under 3.5 goals. I don’t anticipate this match going over two goals in the first 90 minutes, so this combination gives me some cushion. A 2-1 victory for Germany after extra time or penalties is a likely outcome.

Germany dominated against weaker opponents Scotland and Hungary, but their upcoming match against Denmark will be a tougher challenge. Fullkrug’s late goal against Switzerland helped Germany clinch the top spot in Group A, while Denmark scored two goals in their three Group C matches.

Eriksen’s finish against Slovenia was deadly, and Hjulmand’s strike against England was a perfect hit. Unless Højlund delivers in high-pressure situations, I doubt Denmark will score more than once.

BetMGM’s odds of +115 imply a 46.51% chance of winning. By placing a $10 bet, you stand to make a profit of $11.50 if successful.

Top odds: +115 at BetMGM

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Germany vs. Denmark game info

When: Saturday, June 29 (3 p.m. ET)
Where: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund, Germany)
How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
Favorite: Germany (-165 via FanDuel)

Predictions for the Germany-Denmark match were made on Thursday at 2:30 p.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Gonzales Oona

Gonzales Oona has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn’t a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor’s degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete’s psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team’s dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.