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Netherlands player Cody Gakpo scores against Turkiye as we take a look at an appealing parlay for the Netherlands vs. England Euro 2024 semifinal.
Netherlands player Cody Gakpo scores against Turkiye in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals. Photo by Pro Shots via Sipa USA

The Netherlands and England are both one win away from reaching the European Championships final for the second time. The Netherlands last made it to the final over 30 years ago when they won the tournament, while England’s last trip to the final ended in heartbreaking penalty shootout defeat.

Our picks for the Netherlands vs. England game will highlight two Dutch attackers and the halftime outcome. The Three Lions are considered the favorites to win in the semifinal according to our top sports betting sites.

Gareth Southgate’s team is second favorite to win Euro 2024, with Holland being the underdogs among the four remaining teams.

The match on Wednesday will kick off at 3 p.m. ET at BVB Stadion in Dortmund, Germany, and will be broadcast on Fox Sports.

Both England and the Netherlands have shown impressive resilience by winning their knockout matches despite conceding first. The Netherlands came from behind in their quarterfinal against Turkiye and also overturned a one-goal deficit in their opening group game against Poland.

Make sure to take a look at our predictions for the Netherlands vs. England match, as well as the player props for Netherlands vs. England.

Netherlands vs. England parlay: Euro 2024 semifinal 

Check out the odds for Netherlands vs. England on our top soccer betting sites and choose your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Odds of +532 equate to an implied probability of 34.84%.

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Memphis Depay Over 2.5 shots

Memphis Depay is the top shooter for the Netherlands, with a total of 17 shot attempts and an average of 3.62 shots per 90 minutes. He consistently attempted at least three shots in four out of five Euro 2024 matches, with the only exception being a two-shot performance in the 0-0 draw against France.

Depay consistently attempted four shots in each knockout match, establishing himself as one of the Netherlands’ most reliable and potent attacking players. With his experience and ability to find space on the field, the 30-year-old is unafraid to take aim at goal.

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Holland will face England’s strong defense, the best they have encountered since playing France in the group stage. Despite this, I predict that the Dutch team will score over the fifth time in six matches.

Betting on this part of the parlay with +100 odds would result in a $10 profit on a $10 bet.

Odds: Even money at bet365 | Implied probability: 50%

Cody Gakpo Over 1.5 tackles

I’m sure you were anticipating a Cody Gakpo goal-scoring bet, which is indeed a tempting choice. However, in this parlay, I’m focusing on Gakpo’s impressive tackling skills. Ronald Koeman relies on Gakpo to apply intense and rapid pressure on the defense and occasionally the midfield.

Gakpo has made a total of nine tackles, the second-highest on the team, winning eight of them. He has recorded at least two tackles in four out of five Euro 2024 matches, with the Round of 16 being the only exception. In the upcoming match against the Three Lions, the Netherlands will rely on Gakpo to defend from the front, and I have full confidence that he will deliver.

If you bet $10 on the -138 odds of this leg, you would make a profit of $7.15.

Odds of -138 from bet365 imply a probability of 56.90%.

Halftime draw

Three out of five matches for England and two out of Holland’s games were tied at halftime. It is a common trend for semifinals to be level at the break, as six out of the eight semifinals since Euro 2008 were tied at halftime.

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As the halftime whistle blew in England’s semifinal against Denmark at Euro 2020, the score was tied at one. Given the high stakes of the match, I believe the likelihood of going into halftime with an even score is greater than the 54.55% odds given by bet365.

This parlay has odds of +532 when combined, resulting in a potential profit of $53.20 if all three legs are successful.

The odds of -120 from bet365 correspond to an implied probability of 54.55%.

Netherlands vs. England game info

  • When: Wednesday, July 10
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: BVB Stadion (Dortmund, Germany)
  • How to watch: Fox Sports (US), TSN (Canada)
  • Favorite: England (+165 via FanDuel)

Predictions for the Netherlands vs. England match were made on Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET.

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