Portugal vs. USA Predictions & Women’s World Cup Odds: Americans Target Last 16
The USA can secure a spot in the Round of 16 of the Women’s World Cup with just a draw against Portugal. Here is our best prediction for the Portugal vs. USA match based on the Women’s World Cup odds from top World Cup betting sites.
The USA will wrap up their group stage in the Women’s World Cup by facing tournament newcomers Portugal. It’s worth noting that the Americans have a perfect record of 11 wins in World Cup matches against debutant teams. Furthermore, the United States has been on a winning streak against Portugal, having secured victories in their last four encounters since November 2018. In these matches, the USA has outscored Portugal 9-0.
In five out of her six career starts at the FIFA Women’s World Cup, Lindsey Horan has either scored a goal or provided an assist (4 goals, 1 assist). She has now contributed to a goal in each of her last four starts in the competition. With her track record, can she lead the USA to the knockout stages? See our Women’s World Cup odds for more information.
Below is our top prediction for the Portugal vs. USA matchup in the Women’s World Cup, with odds sourced from our preferred sports betting apps. Confidence in this pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Portugal vs. USA prediction
USA -1.5 (-125 via BetMGM, Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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The USA has emerged victorious in their final group stage game in seven out of the last eight FIFA Women’s World Cup tournaments. The only exception was a 1-2 defeat to Sweden in 2011, but they still managed to finish as runners-up.
The Americans currently hold a better goal difference than the Dutch, but that could change with the Netherlands playing against Vietnam on Tuesday. U.S. head coach Vlatko Andonovski may need to utilize his bench more in the upcoming match against Portugal to maintain freshness and increase scoring opportunities for his team.
The United States have scored in their last 12 games across all competitions, winning five and drawing one in their last six matches. During this period, they scored 11 goals and conceded only two, with the team scoring first in five out of the six games.
Portugal’s recent record in all competitions shows two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. They scored six goals and conceded four during this period, taking the lead first in three of the six games. At the Women’s Euros last year, Portugal did not secure a win and allowed an average of over three goals per game in the group stage.
The U.S. team is expected to overpower their opponents. They are aiming to secure a two-goal victory, a feasible task for a dominant team focused on securing their spot in the next round. The number of goals scored could impact their seeding position. It wouldn’t be surprising to see them elevate their performance and advance in a stylish manner.
Portugal vs. USA best odds
BetMGM, Caesars (-125)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA -1.5 | USA -1 | USA -1.5 | USA -1.5 | USA -1.5 |
| -130 | -130 | -125 | -125 | -130 |
The USA is the -425 favorite in this match and has not lost in their last 19 Women’s World Cup matches, the longest undefeated streak in the history of the competition.
Portugal is relatively inexperienced in tournament football, having only participated in two European championships (2017, 2026) prior to this World Cup. Facing the top-ranked team in the world, who are desperate for a win, may prove to be a challenge too great for the European side.
The books are confident that the USA will achieve the necessary goals to maintain their position as the leaders of Group E. Unlike other books that have set the spread at 1.5, FanDuel has a different line of -2, with the U.S. priced at +240. This means that for them to win, they would need to do so by three goals.
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Our best option is to go with the lower odds on the play that offers a good chance of winning. The USWNT is significantly stronger than Portugal. We are now in the crucial stage of the competition where prices are fairly similar. The best value we can find is at -125 through BetMGM and Caesars. Caesars has consistently offered this price for the play, while others have seen fluctuations.
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Portugal vs. USA game info
- Date: Tuesday, Aug. 1, 3 a.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Location: Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand
- Weather: 54 degrees, 6% chance of precipitation, 9 mph winds
The Portugal-USA pick was finalized on July 31, 2026 at 3:45 a.m. Eastern Time.
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- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
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