Portugal vs. France Odds, Picks & Prediction: Euro 2024 Quarterfinals
![France forward Kylian Mbappe takes a penalty as we offer our best quarterfinals picks for the Euro 2024 clash featuring France and Portugal.](/images/ab2ea327-891b-47d2-9627-dffe35064ebf.jpg?fm=webp&auto=format&auto=compress&h=587&w=880&fit=crop&crop=faces,top,left)
Eight years after France faced Portugal in the Euro 2016 final, Didier Deschamps’ team is looking for revenge in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals. Here, we analyze our predictions for the long-awaited European Championship rematch between Portugal and France on Friday.
Revenge, they say, is a dish best served cold. Nearly ten years after their heartbreaking loss, France is seeking icy retribution against Portugal as they aim to secure a spot in the Euro 2024 semifinals.
Both teams have not been performing exceptionally well in their football games, but both coaches know that securing a spot in the semifinals is all that matters.
The match on Friday will be held at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany, kicking off at 3 p.m. ET (Fox Sports). France is considered the favorite by our top soccer betting sites, with the third-best odds to win Euro 2024, ahead of Portugal in the rankings.
France’s place in the quarterfinals can be attributed to their tournament-leading defense. Les Bleus have only allowed one goal in four matches, which was a penalty scored by Poland. Only Spain have conceded as few goals.
Portugal vs. France predictions for Friday
- Final score: France 1 – Portugal 0 (+600 via FanDuel)
- Kylian Mbappe anytime goalscorer (+187 via bet365)
- Best bet: France ML (+150 via DraftKings)
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Portugal vs. France score prediction
France 1 – Portugal 0
This quarterfinal is perfectly set up for a fierce defensive battle. In four of the last five meetings between the teams, and in five of the last seven, only one goal has been scored.
France boasts one of the strongest defenses in the tournament, possibly even the world, while Portugal has shown inconsistency. Portugal managed to score three out of their five goals against a weaker Turkish defense and relied on an own goal in their match against Czechia. This means they have only scored one goal from open play.
Surprisingly, this is one goal more than France, who still have not scored in that situation. France won against Austria and Belgium with the help of own goals, with the other goal coming from a penalty by Kylian Mbappe.
FanDuel stands out as the top choice for betting on correct scores in sports. With consistently great prices, a bet on France winning 1-0 at +600 odds could result in a $60 profit from a $10 wager if they come out victorious after 90 minutes.
FanDuel offers the best odds at +600, with an implied probability of 14.29%.
Portugal vs. France anytime goal scorer prediction
Kylian Mbappe, France
Mbappe scored his first goal in seven European Championship matches with a penalty against Poland in the final group-stage game. However, his early Euro 2024 campaign was disrupted by a broken nose in the opener, and he has struggled to fully regain his form since then.
Nevertheless, we are discussing Mbappé, who thrives in the spotlight.
With 12 goals in just 14 World Cup matches under his belt, it’s only a matter of time before Mbappe makes a name for himself at the Euros.
Mbappé’s performance in the Round of 16 was significantly improved, as he came close on several occasions to scoring his first European Championship goal from open play. The stage is now set for him to achieve this feat against the Portugal defense, especially when presented with the opportunity to exploit the aging Pepe, who is 41 years old.
Bet365 offers the best value with odds of +187 among our top sports betting apps. A $10 bet would result in a profit of $18.70.
Top odds: +187 on bet365 | Probability of winning: 34.84%
Portugal vs. France best bet
France ML
In the late stages of a major competition, the difference between teams is minimal. Just like in the 2016 final where Portugal needed a 109th-minute goal to win, I predict this upcoming match will be closely contested. However, this time I believe the outcome will be decided within the regulation 90 minutes.
France’s defense has been tighter than a penny-pincher on a strict budget.
I anticipate that the same pattern will continue in the quarterfinals, as the opposing team has not scored in their last two matches. While Portugal’s match against Georgia was an exception, with some players being rested and Georgia performing unexpectedly well, I don’t think the upcoming quarterfinal match will be any different.
The quartet consisting of N’Golo Kanté, Aurélien Tchouaméni, William Gabriel Saliba, and Dayotchanculle Upamecano have been as solid as a concrete wall, effectively neutralizing the threat posed by some of the top teams in the world.
France will be without the suspended Adrien Rabiot, but it should not have a major impact on their performance. The team is strong defensively and has the ability to score when needed. Cristiano Ronaldo has not been as dominant as in previous years, so while he remains a threat, he is not as dangerous as before.
If France wins in 90 minutes with +150 odds, the wager will result in a profit of $15.
Top odds: +150 on DraftKings | Probability of winning: 40%
Portugal vs. France odds & game info
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal | +215 | +230 | +220 | +230 | +230 |
France | +150 | +145 | +140 | +140 | +140 |
ML tie | +205 | +190 | +200 | +200 | +200 |
- When: Friday, July 5 (3 p.m. ET)
- Where: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: France (+150 via DraftKings)
Predictions for the Portugal-France match were made on Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.
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