Spain vs. France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Euro 2024 Semifinal
In France, advancing to the semifinals at a major tournament is as certain as enjoying a delicious coffee and pastry for breakfast. Once again, Didier Deschamps has led the French team to their fourth semifinal in the past six major tournaments.
Now, the next challenge is taking on Spain, who are the favorites to win Euro 2024 and have been the best team in the tournament so far. Spain is slightly favored in the semifinal matchup according to our top sports betting sites as we analyze our prediction and top bets for the Spain vs. France game.
France has advanced to the final four with a strong defense leading the way. The saying “defense wins championships” has never been more true.
France is two wins away from achieving their goal, having only conceded one goal in five matches, which was a penalty scored by Poland in their last Group D match.
In the meantime, Spain has emerged victorious in all five matches, dominating the opposition with an 11-2 goal difference as they aim to reach their first Euro final since 2012. I am particularly impressed by the potential of a few key Spanish players today, which I analyze in more detail in my player prop bets for the Spain vs. France matchup.
Spain vs. France predictions for Tuesday
Compare the Spain vs. France betting odds on our top soccer betting platforms and choose your confidence level using a 1 to 5-star rating system.
- Final score: Spain 1 – France 1 (+500 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Kolo Muani anytime goal scorer (+500 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best bet: ML tie (+180 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Spain vs. France score prediction
Spain 1 vs. France 1
Spain and France have each won two out of their last four meetings. Despite Spain being the stronger team currently, France has a history of resilience under Deschamps’ leadership since Euro 2012. France is known for their fighting spirit and I anticipate they will put up a strong performance against the lively Spanish team.
In European Championship history, France is the first team to reach the semifinals without scoring a goal from open play. This statistic is likely to change soon. Against Portugal, Les Bleus showed significant improvement in their offense, generating plenty of scoring opportunities to end their goal drought.
Their quarterfinal performance was marked by numerous close calls. Despite having 7.9 expected goals, France only managed to score one goal (not counting the two own goals by the opposition), revealing their struggles to convert their promising offensive opportunities into goals.
Spain failed to keep a clean sheet in both knockout matches, showing vulnerabilities in defense. However, they have the most dangerous and unstoppable attack in the tournament, scoring 11 goals from 10.2 expected goals.
FanDuel consistently provides competitive prices and value for the correct score market. Additionally, bet365 offers favorable +500 odds, potentially yielding a $50 profit on a $10 bet if the game ends in a 1-1 tie after 90 minutes. I am also predicting a tied score at halftime, which is one of my selections in my Spain vs. France parlay & SGP.
Highest chances: +500 on FanDuel | Probability of winning: 16.67%
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Spain vs. France anytime goal scorer prediction
Kolo Muani, France
Although backing Kolo Muani to score is a bit riskier due to his absence from the starting lineup in the four matches leading up to the quarterfinal, he has emerged as France’s top offensive threat since coming on in the second half against Belgium in the Round of 16. Muani has displayed speed and boldness in his attacking play, fearlessly taking on the opposition’s defense.
If it weren’t for a crucial defensive deflection, he would have secured the winning goal against Portugal. Even with Kylian Mbappe’s constant danger, I believe Muani will be the one to break France’s goalless streak from open play.
Out of all the top sports betting apps available, bet365 is offering the best value. With odds of +500, a $10 bet on Muani scoring a goal before the full-time whistle could result in a $50 profit.
The odds of +500 from bet365 represent an implied probability of 16.67%.
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Spain vs. France best bet
ML tie
Spain performed exceptionally well throughout the tournament and secured a sensational victory over Germany with a last-minute goal, avoiding a penalty shootout. Although they deserved their win in the quarterfinals, Spain did allow Germany several clear chances in the second half. If Germany had been more precise in front of goal, the semifinal matchup could have been very different.
However, I predict that Spain will progress to the final for the first time since their 2012 victory, although they may need to rely on penalties to secure the win. France, known as the tournament’s strongest defensive team, will pose a challenge for Spain in generating scoring opportunities as they have in their previous games.
France has yet to score a goal and I predict that both teams will score before the end of the game, leading to extra time. With +180 odds at BetMGM, a $10 bet could result in a profit of $18.
Top odds: +180 at BetMGM | Probability: 35.71%
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Spain vs. France odds
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +175 | +170 | +165 | +170 | +170 |
| France | +205 | +210 | +210 | +200 | +210 |
| ML tie | +180 | +180 | +180 | +180 | +180 |
Spain vs. France game info
- When: Tuesday, July 9
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Munich Football Arena (Munich, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Spain (+175 via DraftKings)
Predictions for Spain-France were made on Monday at 11 a.m. Eastern Time.
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