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Spain vs. France Parlay & SGP Odds: Euro 2024 Semifinal

Gonzales Oona

Updated on July 9, 2024 at 12:17 PM EDT • Read time: 3 min 12 sec. Find more on Twitter and Google News.

Spain's Lamine Yamal celebrates his team's first goal against Germany as Gonzales Oona offers his best parlay for the Spain vs. France Euro 2024 semifinal.
Spain’s Lamine Yamal celebrates his team’s first goal against Germany in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals. Photo by Picture Alliance

Spain and France, both known for their strong offense and solid defense, will face off in Munich on Tuesday for a chance to advance to the Euro 2024 final on Sunday.

Our selections for the Spain vs. France parlay and SGP spotlight Lamine Yamal’s potential impact on the offensive end, as well as predictions for the halftime outcome and which team will progress to the next round.

Spain has scored the most goals in the tournament, finding the net 11 times. Although four of those goals were against Georgia in the Round of 16, it’s important to recognize Spain’s strong attacking capabilities. They have impressed with their play and are close to reaching the European Championship final for the first time since their 2012 victory.

The favorites to advance to the final in Euro 2024, La Roja, are the front-runners based on consensus odds at our top sports betting sites. However, they will face a tough challenge against France’s defense, which has only allowed one goal – a penalty against Poland.

The match on Tuesday will kick off at 3 p.m. ET at Munich Arena in Munich, Germany, airing on Fox Sports. In addition to our predictions for Spain vs. France and player props, we are sharing our top parlay for the game.

Spain vs. France parlay: Euro 2024 semifinal

Check out the Spain vs. France odds on top soccer betting sites and choose your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Odds of +577 combined equals an implied probability of 14.77%.

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Lamine Yamal Over 0.5 shots on target

Lamine Yamal, a high school student, is likely studying basic probability in his mathematics class. Despite his age of 16, he has a 50% chance of hitting at least one shot on target in the semifinal match, based on implied probability.

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The 16-year-old is achieving feats that are beyond most people’s understanding and doing it with flair. Yamal has managed to hit the target four times in four starts at Euro 2024, with three of those shots coming in the last two games.

He had the opportunity to increase his shot count against Germany, but narrowly missed a dangerous free kick from approximately 25 meters out. He is frequently responsible for taking Spain’s close-range free kicks and possesses the speed to make space for scoring chances.

Odds: +100 on FanDuel | Probability: 50%

Halftime draw

Semifinal matches at major tournaments are typically tense, especially in the first half. In six out of eight semifinals since Euro 2008, the score was level at halftime. France’s five matches had four tied scores at halftime, with the exception being their Euro 2024 opener against Austria.

With little separating these two teams, I anticipate a closely contested start to the match. Both sides cannot afford to concede early, particularly France. With a spot in the final at stake, this game is likely to be decided in the final moments, possibly with a goalless first half.

Placing a standalone bet with FanDuel’s -120 odds would result in a profit of $8.33.

The odds are -120 according to FanDuel, which implies a 54.55% probability.

Spain to advance

If Spain’s advancement to the final was determined by style alone, they would have already secured enough points without having to play in the semifinals. The team was outstanding in their victory over the hosts in the quarterfinals. If they can replicate their performance against Germany, La Roja should easily secure their first spot in the final in 12 years.

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In the meantime, France is considered one of the most tactically astute teams in international football, having reached the last two World Cup finals. Embracing the concept of winning despite unattractive play has been a source of pride for Didier Deschamps ever since he assumed the coaching role following Euro 2012.

His team will likely push for extra time in the typical French fashion, but I predict that Spain will ultimately end France’s struggles in Euro 2024 by scoring a decisive goal.

This parlay has odds of +577, meaning a $10 bet will result in a profit of $57.70 if all three selections win.

The odds are -118 on FanDuel, which implies a probability of 54.13%.

Spain vs. France game info

  • When: Tuesday, July 9
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: Munich Football Arena (Munich, Germany)
  • How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
  • Favorite: Spain (+175 via DraftKings)

Predictions for Spain-France were made on Monday at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gonzales Oona
Gonzales Oona has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn’t a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor’s degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete’s psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team’s dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.