Spain vs. Germany Odds, Picks & Prediction: Euro 2026 Quarterfinals
Spain and Germany will face off in a highly anticipated match, vying for a spot in the Euro 2026 semifinals. Our predictions for the Spain vs. Germany game are based on the odds provided by top soccer betting sites.
Spain is the only team to win all four matches entering the quarterfinals, while Germany aims for their third consecutive semifinal appearance in tournaments they have hosted. Spain is slightly favored to advance, but both teams are considered top contenders to win the Euro 2026 tournament.
The match on Friday will begin at noon ET at Stuttgart Arena (Fox Sports). Spain has not lost in their last four matches against Germany, with three of them ending in a tie. The last time Germany defeated Spain was in a friendly match in November 2014.
At Euro 2026, Germany leads in goals scored with 10, followed closely by Spain with 9. Spain is aiming for their second consecutive semifinal spot at the Euros, while Germany previously reached the semifinals in both 2012 and 2016.
Spain vs. Germany predictions for Friday
- Final score (90 minutes): Spain 1 – Germany 1 (+500 via FanDuel)
- Nico Williams anytime goal scorer (+410 via FanDuel)
- Best bet: Spain to advance (-115 via FanDuel)
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Spain vs. Germany score prediction
Spain 1 vs. Germany 1
To start off, my prediction is that Spain will win the game 2-1. However, it is possible that the match could go into extra time or even penalties to determine the final outcome. Please note that my score prediction is based on the result at the end of regular time and does not account for extra time or penalties.
Although both teams are capable of scoring many goals, the significance of the occasion will likely prevent a high-scoring game. Both teams will be determined to prevent the opposing team from scoring first, as evidenced by the fact that six of their last seven matches have had two goals or less.
If the score is 1-1 after 90 minutes, FanDuel’s +500 odds will yield a $50 profit.
Top odds: +500 on FanDuel | Probability of winning: 16.67%
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Spain vs. Germany anytime goal scorer prediction
Nico Williams, Spain
This pick is based on the situation and a strong intuition. Nico Williams possesses incredible speed, capable of outpacing even a young and energetic cheetah at full throttle.
Williams, who is 21 years old, scored an impressive goal against Georgia to seal the Round of 16 match. He showcased his strengths by aggressively attacking the defense and creating chaos with his exceptional speed and ball control skills.
Scoring against Georgia marked his first goal in nine matches with La Roja, and Germany’s defense is significantly stronger than Georgia’s. Nonetheless, he possesses the agility and speed to challenge Antonio Rüdiger and Jonathan Tah. I believe he has a good opportunity to score if he can receive the ball in open space during a fast break.
FanDuel consistently offers great value in the goal-scoring market, with +410 odds that could result in a $41 profit if the player scores at least once.
Top odds: +410 on FanDuel, which implies a probability of 19.61%.
Spain vs. Germany best bet
Spain to advance
Spain has proven to be the top team in the tournament, currently leading our Euro 2026 power rankings. They breezed through the challenging Group of Death with three consecutive victories, showcasing their dominance against Croatia and effortlessly scoring goals.
Under head coach Luis de la Fuente’s guidance, Spain has evolved into a more aggressive and effective team. He has put his faith in players like Nico Williams and 16-year-old Lamine Yamal to challenge defenders with their exceptional speed and skill, creating a sense of unease among opponents.
I believe Spain has a clear advantage in that regard.
Germany boasts a wealth of attacking options, with Toni Kroos and İlkay Gündoğan orchestrating play from midfield. Despite this, Rüdiger and Tah may struggle to keep up with the speed of Williams and Yamal on the defensive end.
If the duo mentioned earlier focuses on attacking the slow center-back pair, I believe Spain has a good chance of progressing. Three top sports betting apps are offering Spain to win in 90 minutes at +170 odds. This is an attractive price that could result in a $17 profit on a $10 wager.
I am choosing the more cautious route, anticipating a longer game. Three out of the last four matches between these two teams have ended in a tie. Given the high stakes and Germany’s home advantage with 55,000 energetic fans, a draw seems probable.
FanDuel offers the best odds at -115, with an implied probability of 53.41%.
Spain vs. Germany odds & game info
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +165 ❄️ | +170 | +160 | +170 | +170 |
| Germany | +180 | +180 | +180 | +180 | +180 |
| ML tie | +215 | +210 | +210 | +200 ❄️ | +210 |
- When: Friday, July 5 at noon ET.
- Where: Stuttgart Arena (Stuttgart, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Spain (+170 via bet365)
Predictions for the Spain-Germany match were made on Thursday at 11 a.m. Eastern Time.
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