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Venezuela forward José Salomón Rondón celebrates with his teammates after scoring a goal on a penalty as we profile our predictions and best bets for the Copa America quarterfinal featuring Venezuela and Canada.
Venezuela forward José Salomón Rondón celebrates with his teammates after scoring a goal on a penalty during the second half a match against Mexico at SoFi Stadium. Photo by Jessica Alcheh via USA TODAY Sports

Canadians are celebrating as the national team has not only qualified for the quarterfinals in their debut Copa America, but they have also been matched up against Venezuela, one of the weakest teams among the remaining seven participants.

Our prediction for the Venezuela vs. Canada match anticipates a closely contested game, with Jesse Marsch’s team giving the South Americans a run for their money.

Canada advanced to the final eight after only scoring one goal in the group stage, marking a notable achievement, although not the most desirable one. The quarterfinal match will take place on Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, with kick-off scheduled for 9 p.m. ET and airing on Fox Sports.

Canada, considered underdogs by our top soccer betting sites, have the second-lowest odds to win the Copa America, while Venezuela is ranked in the lower half.

Both teams benefited greatly from the opposing team’s lack of discipline in the group stage. Canada played against 10 men for the majority of their last two matches, while Venezuela faced a 10-man team for most of their opening match against Ecuador.

Canada is missing Tajon Buchanan, who fractured his tibia during training on Monday.

Venezuela vs. Canada predictions for Friday

Check out the odds for the Venezuela vs. Canada match on our top soccer betting sites and make your pick with confidence using a 1-to-5-star scale.

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Venezuela vs. Canada score prediction

Venezuela 1 vs. Canada 1

Canada and Venezuela have limited history competing against each other, having only played two friendly matches. Despite their lack of experience at Copa America, Canada has shown they can match up well against Venezuela.

Marsch’s team has struggled to generate offense, scoring their lone goal against a 10-man Peru. In contrast, Canada is brimming with confidence and playing without fear, making them a formidable opponent for Venezuela. Venezuela convincingly defeated Jamaica 3-0 and narrowly escaped with a 1-0 win over Mexico, while Canada has not been beaten by Mexico in their last two matches.

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This game is expected to be intense and closely contested, with Canada giving their all. Despite Venezuela being the likely winners, I believe the Canadians will push the match to a penalty shootout. It’s important to note that there is no extra time in the Copa America knockout stage.

If the match ends in a 1-1 tie after 90 minutes, a bet with +475 odds at Betway will result in a profit of $47.50.

Top chances: +475 on Betway | Probability: 17.39%

Up To $250 First Bet Reset

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Venezuela vs. Canada anytime goal scorer prediction

Salomón Rondón, Venezuela

Salomón Rondón is a Venezuelan football icon, known for his impressive record of 43 goals in 108 international appearances. He is as dependable as a well-built German car. Rondón has scored 18 goals in 60 World Cup and Copa America games, including goals in the recent group matches against Jamaica and Mexico.

Additionally, Rondón is the designated penalty taker for Venezuela, which improves their chances of scoring in a third consecutive match. With his experience advantage over the Canadian center-backs, he is likely to do whatever it takes to gain even the slightest advantage. Furthermore, he possesses a strength and aggressiveness comparable to a bighorn sheep on steroids.

If Rondón scores, a $15 profit will be made with +150 odds.

Top odds: +150 on Betway | Probability of winning: 40.00%

Venezuela vs. Canada best bet

ML tie 

Venezuela has remained undefeated in eight competitive matches, winning all three group games. Their victory on the opening day was helped by an early red card for Ecuador, and their match against Mexico was won by a penalty scored by Rondón.

Despite being fourth in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualification standings, the South American side has only lost one out of six matches. However, three of their matches ended in draws against Brazil, Peru, and Ecuador, giving Canada hope.

Marsch’s team is known for their strong organization, discipline, and difficult defense to break down. They have only allowed two goals in their past four matches, including clean sheets in the last two. While they were helped by red cards from Peru and Chile, they still managed to get the job done.

Expect Canada to deliver their strongest performance yet under Marsch, giving Venezuela a tough challenge. While Venezuela is likely to advance, they may need penalties to secure the win.

Top odds: +200 on Betway | Implied probability: 33.33%

Venezuela vs. Canada odds & game info

TeamBetwayImplied probability
Venezuela+16038.46%
Canada+19034.48%
ML tie+20033.33%
  • When: Friday, July 5
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
  • How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
  • Favorite: Venezuela (+160 via Betway)

Predictions for the Venezuela-Canada match were made on Thursday at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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