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Dustin Poirier reacts after defeating Benoit Saint Denis as we look at the latest UFC 302 odds & lines.
Dustin Poirier reacts after defeating Benoit Saint Denis in their lightweight bout at UFC 299 on March 09, 2024. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images via AFP.

Islam Makhachev is set to defend his lightweight championship title for the third time against Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier in the main event of UFC 302 this Saturday. Check out the odds and betting lines from the top UFC betting sites.

Since 2022, Islam Makhachev has been the reigning lightweight champion and will be facing Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier at UFC 302 this Saturday to defend his title. Makhachev claimed the championship by submitting Charles Oliveira on October 22, 2022, and has successfully defended it twice against Alexander Volkanovski. In his last seven fights, the Dagestani fighter has accumulated two KO/TKO wins, four submission victories, and a unanimous decision.

The headline bout of UFC 302 will kick off at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view, broadcasting live from Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. With both fighters showcasing top-tier skills, the main event is expected to be nothing short of explosive.

In the co-main event, former champion Sean Strickland will face off against Brazil’s Paulo Costa in a five-round middleweight clash. While not as hyped as the main event in the McGregor vs. Chandler odds, this matchup between two ranked contenders promises to be exciting. A victory for Strickland, currently the No. 1 contender, could greatly improve his chances of securing another opportunity to compete for the middleweight title.

All fighters successfully made weight on Friday morning, except for Andre Lima who came in at 130 pounds. This led to a catch-weight bout with Mitch Raposo, who weighed in at 125 pounds despite taking the fight on short notice. Lima will have to forfeit 30% of his purse for not making weight in the flyweight category.

We have analyzed the UFC 302 predictions, odds, and the Makhachev vs. Poirier fight prediction. Here is a detailed breakdown of the UFC 302 odds and betting lines for the entire Saturday card to assist you in making your UFC picks (odds sourced from our top sports betting sites).

UFC 302 odds – Main Card

The odds from bet365 were last updated on Friday at 7:35 a.m. Eastern Time.

FightFavoriteUnderdog
Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin PoirierMakhachev (-600)Poirier (+450)
Sean Strickland vs. Paulo CostaStrickland (-275)Costa (+225)
Kevin Holland vs. Michal OleksiejczukHolland (-275)Oleksiejczuk (+225)
Alex Morono vs. Niko PriceMorono (-250)Price (+200)
Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosBrown (-170)Zaleski dos Santos (+140)

Makhachev (-600) has been the dominant force in the lightweight division for years and is heavily favored to continue his reign against challenger Poirier (+450). The Russian fighter has successfully defended his title twice and boasts an impressive pro record of 25-1-0, including a UFC record of 14-1. His last defeat was in 2015, highlighting his exceptional skill and longevity in the sport.

Poirier, a long-time presence in the division, held the interim lightweight championship at one point and boasts a professional record of 30 wins and 8 losses. In his most recent fights, he has been trading wins and losses, with his latest victory being a second-round KO/TKO against Benoit Saint Denis in March.

In a highly anticipated matchup on the main card, Jamaica’s Brown will face off against Brazil’s Zaleski dos Santos in what promises to be a closely contested fight. Brown has been victorious in six of his last seven bouts, with two consecutive wins under his belt, while Zaleski dos Santos remains unbeaten in his last three fights. However, it is worth noting that the Brazilian’s recent fights all took place in 2021, as he has missed some bouts due to personal issues and a suspension related to a banned substance.

Placing a $10 bet on the underdog with odds of +140 at bet365 would result in a $14 profit for a successful wager, with an implied win probability of 41.67%.

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UFC 302 odds – Prelims

The latest odds from Caesars were last updated on Wednesday at 11 a.m. ET.

FightFavoriteUnderdog
Roman Kopylov vs. Cesar AlmeidaAlmeida (-120)Kopylov (+100)
Jailton Almeida vs. Alexandr RomanovAlmeida (-275) Romanov (+225)
Grant Dawson vs. Joe SoleckiDawson (-450) Solecki (+350)
Jake Matthews vs. Phil RoweMatthews (-160)Rowe (+135)

Cesar Almeida and Kopylov are set to face off in an exciting prelim fight between two aggressive fighters who are known for their striking abilities. Almeida, who is in only his sixth pro fight and second at the UFC level, boasts a perfect 5-0 record and recently scored a second-round KO/TKO victory over Dylan Budka. Kopylov, a more experienced veteran, presents a tougher challenge for Almeida. The odds for the fight have shifted throughout the week, with Kopylov going from a favorite to a pick’em to an underdog.

Jailton Almeida was shifted to the preliminaries from the main card earlier in the week. Originally scheduled to face former Bellator Heavyweight World Champion Alexander Volkov, Almeida’s opponent was changed to Alexandr Romanov due to Volkov’s move to UFC on ABC 6. Despite being a +225 underdog, Romanov has an implied win percentage of just 30.77% but stands to win $32.50 if he emerges victorious.

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UFC 302 odds – Early prelims

The latest odds from BetMGM were last updated on Wednesday at 11 a.m. ET.

FightFavoriteUnderdog
Bassil Hafez vs. Mickey GallHafez (-400)Gall (+310)
Ailin Perez vs. Joselyne EdwardsPerez (-185)Edwards (+150)
Andre Lima vs. Mitch RaposoLima (-278)Raposo (+220)

Raposo is ready to make his official UFC debut with a professional record of 9-1-0. Although he suffered his only defeat on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2021 against Jake Hadley, he is stepping in on short notice to replace Nyamjargal Tumendemberel. Despite the last-minute opportunity, Raposo brings experience as a former champion in CES MMA and Cage Fighters.

Lima is expected to win with a 73.54% probability in his professional debut, but betting $10 on the favorite will only yield a profit of less than $5 at odds of $13.60.

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UFC 302 info

  • When: Saturday, June 1
  • Where: Prudential Center, Newark, N.J.
  • How to watch: Early Prelims at 6:15 p.m. ET (ESPN+); Prelims at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+); Main Card at 10 p.m. ET (Pay-per-view)

How to read UFC betting odds

To make well-informed wagers, it is crucial to comprehend UFC betting odds. Let’s explore this concept further with some examples:

  • Positive odds (+): Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For instance, if a fighter has odds of +250, it means that a $100 bet on that fighter would yield a profit of $250 if they win the fight. So, your total payout would be $350 ($250 profit + $100 original stake).
  • Negative odds (-): Negative odds represent the amount you need to wager to win $100 in profit. For example, if a fighter has odds of -150, it means that you would need to bet $150 to win $100 in profit if that fighter wins. Your total payout would be $250 ($100 profit + $150 original stake).

Next, let’s examine a real UFC betting situation:

  • Fighter A: +200
  • Fighter B: -180

Fighter A is listed at +200, meaning a $100 bet would earn a $200 profit for a total payout of $300. Fighter B is listed at -180, requiring a $180 wager to win $100 in profit for a total payout of $280.

Knowing these odds will assist you in assessing the potential payout and implied likelihood of victory for each fighter in a UFC match. Positive odds suggest the fighter is an underdog, while negative odds indicate they are the favorite.

Here are our best UFC betting sites:

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