UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Prediction, Expert Pick & Odds
Alex Pereira is set to defend his light heavyweight title against Jamahal Hill in the main event of UFC 300 in Las Vegas on Saturday. Our Pereira vs. Hill prediction is based on the odds from top UFC betting sites.
The main event of UFC 300 will see Alex Pereira defending his light heavyweight title against former champion Jamahal Hill at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The early prelims will start at 6 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET.
After losing the middleweight title to Israel Adesanya last year, Pereira moved up to 205 pounds. He bounced back with a decision victory over Jan Blachowicz and then defeated Jiri Prochazka to become a two-division champion in November.
After winning the light heavyweight championship by defeating Glover Teixeira in January 2023, Hill’s time as a belt holder was short-lived due to a ruptured Achilles tendon. He vacated the title six months later. Despite being out of the Octagon for over a year, Hill enters UFC 300 on a four-fight win streak and has demonstrated his skills with seven knockouts in 12 professional victories.
Throughout the week, we have been monitoring the UFC 300 odds closely. Pereira initially started as a -150 favorite with Hill as a +125 underdog. However, as the UFC’s tricentennial event draws near, the lines have shifted closer together.
Here is our prediction for the Pereira vs. Hill fight at UFC 300, along with our predictions for Gaethje vs. Holloway. Odds are from top sports betting sites, and confidence levels are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Pereira vs. Hill prediction for UFC 300
Pereira to win ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The most favorable odds are -130 on DraftKings.
While their physical attributes may be similar, these two light heavyweights have contrasting styles in striking. Pereira is a precise kickboxer with a diverse range of techniques, while Hill focuses mainly on punching and tends to target his opponents’ upper body.
Despite his dangerous reputation, Hill tends to lean back with his chin exposed to avoid strikes, a tactic that works well for taller fighters. However, Pereira, who has the same height and reach as Hill but is a superior technician, will likely take advantage of this vulnerability. With Hill only successfully defending 47% of significant strikes, Pereira will likely capitalize on this flaw after analyzing his opponent in the first round. Once Pereira has figured out Hill’s weaknesses, he will likely finish the fight with his signature left hook or a barrage of strikes against the fence, ensuring that the light heavyweight title remains in Brazil after Saturday’s event.
Pereira is the favorite going into the fight, with odds of -130 at DraftKings. Betting on Buffer saying “and still” after the fight offers good value. Pereira has a history of KO/TKO wins, making a win via strikes appealing with odds of +120 at DraftKings and bet365.
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Pereira vs. Hill tale of the tape
| Alex Pereira | Jamahal Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Age | 32 |
| 6’4″ | Height | 6’4″ |
| 204 lbs | Weight | 205 lbs |
| 79″ | Reach | 79″ |
| 9-2-0 | Record | 12-1-0, 1 NC |
Pereira vs. Hill moneyline odds
| Fighter | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pereira | -130 | -138 | -135 | -135 | -138 |
| Hill | +110 | +108 | +110 | +115 | +110 |
No matter which light heavyweight you select, you’ll discover great value on all of our top sports betting platforms, with minimal movement in betting lines leading up to the fight.
You can place your bets on Pereira to defend the crown as the favorite at -130 with DraftKings. The odds on the Brazilian are just under -140 at FanDuel and bet365.
If you’re hoping for Hill to make a comeback and win the match, Caesars is the favorite at +115. However, most other top sports betting apps are predicting an upset with the challenger at +110. BetMGM is offering a tempting +200 for an eighth career KO/TKO for Hill.
Pereira vs. Hill fight info
- When: Saturday, April 13
- Time: Early prelims at 6 p.m. ET; main card at 10 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.
- How to watch: ESPN/ESPN+ (early prelims, prelims), Pay-per-view (main card)
The Pereira-Hill selection was announced on Friday at 12:04 a.m. Eastern Time.
Here are our best UFC betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
*Bonuses cannot be redeemed in Ontario. If you are 21 years or older and have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
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