UFC 301 Odds – Latest Pantoja vs. Erceg Betting Lines

Alexandre Pantoja and Steve Erceg are set to headline the main event of UFC 301 on Saturday, with the flyweight title on the line. We are analyzing the UFC 301 odds and betting lines from top UFC betting sites.

Alexandre Pantoja, the reigning Brazilian flyweight champion, is determined to protect his title against Steve Erceg at UFC 301 this Saturday. Since defeating Brandon Moreno in July 2023, Pantoja has been proving his dominance in the division. The eagerly awaited fight will be held at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

After defeating Brandon Royval with a unanimous decision in December, Pantoja is ready to once again demonstrate his skills in the upcoming UFC 301 event. The fight card will include a total of 14 Brazilian fighters, ensuring an exciting and action-packed night of battles.

Although it may not receive as much attention as the McGregor vs. Chandler fight, UFC 301 features an impressive roster of matchups and talented athletes. The event kicks off with the early prelims on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the main card on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. ET.

Check out our analysis of the UFC 301 odds and betting lines for the entire Saturday card to assist you in making your UFC picks (odds sourced from top sports betting sites).

UFC 301 odds – Main Card

(Odds updated May 4)

Alexandre Pantoja (27-5) vs. Steve Erceg (12-1)

Pantoja will have the opportunity to defend his flyweight title in front of his home crowd on Saturday for the second time. DraftKings has the best odds on the champion, with a 64.91% chance of winning that could result in a profit of $5.41 on a $10 bet.

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Jonathan Martinez (19-4) vs. Jose Aldo (31-8)

Martinez will defend his six-fight win streak against Aldo this Saturday. Aldo, known as “Junior,” is one of the older fighters at 37 years old and is listed at +125 on bet365 as the underdog. This suggests a 44.44% chance of winning and offers a $12.50 profit on a $10 bet.

Anthony Smith (37-19) vs. Vitor Petrino (11-0)

Vitor Petrino is undefeated in all 11 of his professional fights, with four consecutive wins since joining the UFC. His odds at DraftKings predict a similar outcome on Saturday, with a -470 line that would only yield a $2.13 profit on a $10 bet, indicating an 82.46% chance of winning.

Michel Pereira (30-11) vs. Ihor Potieria (21-5)

Pereira is another fighter who is expected to have an advantage fighting at home, although he may not necessarily need the support of the home crowd. Pereira has maintained an undefeated record since 2000, securing wins through decisions, submissions, and knockouts. With the shortest odds at -600 among our top sportsbooks, a $10 bet on Pereira would only yield a profit of $1.67, reflecting an 85.71% chance of winning.

Paul Craig (17-7-1) vs. Caio Borralho (15-1)

The main card kicks off with a challenging match for Scottish fighter Craig, who has faced defeat in three of his last four fights. Borralho, with only one loss on his record from 2015 in the Bradar Fight promotion, is the favorite with odds of -600 at bet365. This gives him an 85.71% chance of winning and a potential profit of $1.67 on a $10 bet.

UFC 301 odds – Prelims

Jack Shore (17-1) vs. Joanderson Brito (16-3-1)

Although Shore has only one loss in his professional career, he is seen as a slight underdog against Brito for their fight on Saturday. Brito, also known as “Tubarao,” is a versatile fighter who has achieved both KO/TKO and submission victories in his last four fights, all within the first two rounds. With a -170 line at bet365, Brito has a 62.96% chance of winning and could earn $15.88 on a $10 bet if he emerges victorious.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-7) vs. Iasmin Lucindo (15-5)

Lucindo, 16 years younger than her competitor, has a two-inch reach advantage. With a -395 line at DraftKings, she stands out in a market where she is lined at -400 or shorter on other top sports betting sites. She has a 79.8% win probability and would profit an even $2.53 on a $10 bet.

Elves Brener (16-4) vs. Myktybek Orolbai (12-1-1)

Brener enters this fight with a five-fight winning streak, with three wins at the UFC level. Orolbai also has a seven-fight winning streak, but only one win in the UFC. The Kyrgyzstan fighter has only gone to a decision once since 2020 and is favored at -245 on DraftKings. A $10 wager on Orolbai would result in a $3.94 profit, with a 71.75% chance of winning implied by the odds.

UFC 301 odds – Early prelims

Joaquim Silva (13-5) vs. Drakkar Klose (14-2-1)

Silva has had a tough time in his recent fights, only managing to secure two victories in his last five bouts. Despite being on home turf in Brazil, he is considered the underdog. The best odds for Silva can be found at DraftKings, with a line of +170. A $10 bet on Silva could potentially profit $17, but his implied win percentage is only 37.04%.

Mauricio Ruffy (9-1) vs. Jamie Mullarkey (17-7)

Mullarkey had a busy year in 2023, with a record of 2-2 including two unanimous decision wins and two KO/TKO losses. Despite his previous fights, this will be his first time in the Octagon in 2024, and the oddsmakers are not showing much confidence in him. Ruffy’s best odds are -218 at DraftKings, which means a $10 bet would bring a profit of $4.59 and implies a win probability of 68.55%.

Dione Barbosa (6-2) vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (5-0-1)

Barbosa, also known as “The Witch”, will be making her UFC debut after last competing in DWCS in September. The 31-year-old Brazilian fighter is considered a strong favorite against the much younger Kareckaite. With a -238 line at DraftKings, Barbosa has implied win odds of 70.41% and would pay $14.20 on a $10 wager, resulting in a profit of $4.20.

Ismael Bonfim (19-4) vs. Vinc Pichel (14-3)

Pichel, the lone fighter over 40 on the card, faces a significant age gap of 13 years against his 28-year-old opponent, Bonfim. Bonfim is the first of many fighters of the night with odds set at -550 or higher, meaning a $10 bet on him would only profit $1.82 with an implied win probability of 84.62%.

Alessandro Costa (13-4) vs. Kevin Borjas (9-2)

The UFC 301 event kicks off with two fighters aiming to bounce back from recent losses. “Nono” Costa, who has a 1-2 record in the UFC since joining in 2022, is slightly favored against contender Borjas. With a -120 line at Caesars, Costa has a 54.55% implied win probability, offering a potential payout of $18.33 on a $10 bet.

UFC 301 fight info

• When: Saturday, May 4
• Where: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
• How to watch: Early Prelims on ESPN+ (6 p.m. ET); Prelims on ESPN2/ESPN+ (8 p.m. ET); Main Card on Pay-per-view (10 p.m. ET)

How to read UFC betting odds

It is crucial to understand UFC betting odds in order to make informed wagers. Let’s explore this concept further with some examples:

• Positive odds (+): Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For instance, if a fighter has odds of +250, it means that a $100 bet on that fighter would yield a profit of $250 if they win the fight. So, your total payout would be $350 ($250 profit + $100 original stake).
• Negative odds (-): Negative odds represent the amount you need to wager to win $100 in profit. For example, if a fighter has odds of -150, it means that you would need to bet $150 to win $100 in profit if that fighter wins. Your total payout would be $250 ($100 profit + $150 original stake).

Let’s now examine a real-life UFC betting situation:

• Fighter A: +200
• Fighter B: -180

Fighter A (+200) would earn a $200 profit from a $100 bet, resulting in a total payout of $300. Fighter B (-180) requires a $180 bet to earn a $100 profit, resulting in a total payout of $280.

Knowing these odds will assist you in assessing the possible payout and implied likelihood of victory for each fighter in a UFC match. Positive odds suggest the fighter is an underdog, while negative odds indicate they are the favorite.

Here are our best UFC betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• BetRivers Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

You must be 21 or older to participate in gambling activities. If you have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please note that bonuses are not valid in Ontario.

Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)