MLB RBI Leader Odds 2024: Alvarez the Favorite Over Soto, Judge

According to the latest MLB RBI leader odds and predictions for 2024, Matt Olson, who led MLB in RBIs in 2023, is not favored to repeat as the RBI leader. These predictions are based on the top MLB odds from our recommended MLB betting sites.

While RBIs might not be as trendy as advanced stats in the MLB, they still serve as a simple way to recognize the most powerful hitters in baseball.

In the previous season, Matt Olson of the Atlanta Braves led the majors with 139 RBIs, which was the highest total by any player since Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder each had 141 RBIs in 2009. This was 21 RBIs more than Pete Alonso, who finished in second place with 118 RBIs, tying Aaron Judge for the MLB lead in 2022.

None of the players going into 2024 are considered the clear favorite to lead the majors in RBIs on our top sports betting sites, adding to the excitement of betting on this unpredictable market as spring training approaches.

Below is our analysis of the top odds for the 2024 MLB RBI leader, including our top MLB predictions for favorites, contenders, and underdogs.

MLB 2024 RBI leader odds

(Odds updated Feb. 22)

MLB 2024 RBI leader favorite

Yordan Alvarez (+900 via Caesars)

It is somewhat surprising to see Alvarez as the top pick in our best sportsbooks, given that he has only reached 100 RBIs once in his five-year career and is not predicted to lead MLB in any of the early projection models.

One main factor for this is the player’s health. The Houston Astros slugger only played in 114 games last season and has never played more than 145 games in a season. This is essential in a market that values both skill and consistency, making it crucial for players to be available for a large number of games.

Alvarez certainly has the ability and support from his team to compete in the RBI race, but I would be cautious about placing high odds on the frequently injured slugger.

MLB 2024 RBI leader odds: Contender

Shohei Ohtani (+1300 via BetMGM)

Two out of the five main projection models at Fangraphs, including the highly regarded ZiPs model, predict that Ohtani will lead the league in RBIs in 2024. Despite this, he is currently listed as the seventh choice at BetMGM.

Despite missing the final month of the 2023 season due to a UCL injury, Ohtani still led the AL in home runs with 44 in just 135 games. He maintained a pace of 114 RBIs over a full 162-game season, showcasing his impressive offensive abilities.

The two-time MVP winner is now in the prime of his career with the Los Angeles Dodgers, a team that had four players score over 100 runs in 2023. Ohtani is expected to easily reach that milestone and is a strong contender for the MLB lead in his debut season with the Dodgers.

MLB 2024 RBI leader odds: Long shot

Ronald Acuna Jr. (+8000 via bet365)

Do you recall the ZiPs model that predicted Ohtani would lead in RBIs? It also had Acuna tied for second with 116 RBIs, making the +8000 odds from bet365 seem like a steal.

In 2023, Acuna achieved a career-high 106 RBIs after playing in 159 games, the most in his six-year MLB career. He hit 41 home runs, matching his previous career best from 2019. However, teammate Matt Olson exceeded him in both home runs (54) and RBIs (139) for the season.

However, I wouldn’t discount the possibility of Acuna once again leading the talented Braves lineup in both categories this year, especially after his impressive MVP performance last season. If Acuna can increase his power output in 2024, he could prove to be the most valuable player of the season.

Recent MLB RBI leaders

*Pandemic-shortened season

MLB 2024 RBI leader odds analysis

When placing bets in this market, three main factors to consider are power, durability, and team dynamics.

The correlation between RBIs and home runs and extra-base hits is clear – the players who lead in RBIs are typically the ones with the most of these types of hits. In this market, it is crucial for players to also have high numbers of games played in order to capitalize on their RBI potential. Even if a player averages one RBI per game, if they only play 100 games, they will not be maximizing their opportunities in this market.

The least recognized element of this market is often the most important. Many of the best hitters in MLB struggle to reach 100 RBIs due to their teammates’ inability to get on base. This unpredictability is what makes this market so exciting and full of potential for finding hidden gems.

MLB RBI leader FAQs

Who is the favorite to lead MLB in RBIs?

Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros is the top choice at +900 to finish the MLB season with the most RBIs according to several sportsbooks. However, Pete Alonso, the first baseman for the New York Mets, is also a favorite at Caesars.

Who led MLB in RBIs last season?

During the 2023 regular season, Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson topped all major league players in RBIs with 139.

When will the RBI leader be decided?

The top player in this market will be the one who finishes the regular season leading MLB in RBIs, which ends on Sept. 29, 2024.

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